Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for today’s College Basketball slate.
5 p.m. ET: Fairleigh Dickinson (-2, 151) at Stonehill
Fairleigh Dickinson (8-11) has won two straight games and just brushed aside St. Francis (PA) 81-71. On the other hand, Stonehill (2-17) has dropped six straight games and just fell to Wagner 64-54. This line opened with Fairleigh Dickinson listed as a short 1-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the points with the favorite, steaming Fairleigh Dickinson up from -1 to -2. Some shops are even inching up to -2.5. This movement is especially notable because this is an added game/extra game with a 6-digit ID game (306541-306542), meaning it is a tiny matchup that the public has no interest in and can’t even find on their betting app. However, due to the line movement, we know it was pros who targeted this matchup and took a position. Fairleigh Dickinson is receiving 73% of spread bets and 83% of spread dollars, which are likely to come mostly from wiseguys since the game is so obscure and low bet. Fairleigh Dickinson has the far better offense (78 PPG vs 64 PPG), better field goal percentage (43 vs 39), and better rebounding (37 RPG vs 32 RPG), especially offensive rebounding percentage (28 vs 21). Ken Pom has Fairleigh Dickinson winning by one point (76-75). He also has Fairleigh Dickinson ranked higher (325 vs 355). Those looking to follow the sharp move but wary of laying points on a short spread could instead target Fairleigh Dickinson on the moneyline at -135. Fairleigh Dickinson is receiving 65% of moneyline bets but 94% of moneyline dollars, a notable sharp bet split.
7 p.m. ET: LIU at St. Francis (-3, 143.5)
LIU (3-12) just saw their brief two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Sacred Heart 89-55. Meanwhile, St. Francis (5-12) has dropped seven of their last eight games and just fell to Fairleigh Dickinson 81-71. This line opened with St. Francis listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. We’ve seen St. Francis move from -2.5 to -3, signaling smart money laying the points with the home team. Once again, we are looking at a tiny added game/extra game (306547-306548) with a line move, signaling pro money taking a position despite zero interest from the general betting public. St. Francis is receiving 77% of spread bets but 89% of spread dollars, further evidence of a preponderance of smart money in their favor. St. Francis will lean on their defensive advantage, allowing 73 PPG compared to 80 PPG allowed by LIU. St. Francis is also the better shooting team (42% vs 40%). St. Francis also had a big edge on the offensive boards, boasting an offensive rebound percentage of 33 vs 21 for LIU. Ken Pom has St. Francis winning by two points (71-69). St. Francis is 3-5 at home this season but LIU is just 1-10 on the road. Those looking to protect themselves in a potential tight game could play St. Francis on the moneyline at -150. St. Francis is receiving 81% of moneyline bets but 94% of moneyline dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.
