Today we have a loaded 51-game College Basketball slate to choose from. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of under-the-radar College Basketball games tonight.
7 p.m. ET: Wagner at Le Moyne (-1.5, 132)
Wagner (13-13) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 72-57 win over Long Island. Conversely, Le Moyne (12-16) has lost two straight games and just fell to Fairleigh Dickinson 68-58. This line opened at roughly a pick’em. Pros have sided with the home team in a coin flip game, steaming Le Moyne up from a pick’em to -1.5. This move is especially meaningful because this is a tiny added/extra game (306537-306538). These are the games the public has no interest in and can’t even find on their sports betting app. As a result, line moves in obscure games are almost always driven by pros taking a position on one side. Le Moyne is receiving 67% of spread bets but 96% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor. Le Moyne has the better offensive efficiency (282nd vs 329th), better effective field goal percentage (50% vs 45%) and better free-throw shooting (75% vs 71%). Le Moyne is averaging 73 PPG compared to 65 PPG for Wagner. Ken Pom has Le Moyne winning by three points (66-63). Le Moyne is -120 on the moneyline, receiving only 45% of moneyline bets but 85% of moneyline dollars, signaling pro action on Le Moyne to win the game straight up. Le Moyne is 8-3 at home. Wagner is 6-9 on the road. Le Moyne enjoys a one-day rest advantage, having last played on February 24th while Wagner last played on February 25th. This is also a revenge spot for Le Moyne, who lost to Wagner on the road 80-57 in early February.
9 p.m. ET: Kansas City at Denver (-3.5, 153.5)
Kansas City (14-15) has won four straight games and just edged Omaha 63-58. Meanwhile, Denver (15-14) has rotated wins and losses over their last four games and just got crushed by South Dakota State 97-70. This line opened with Denver listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps have gotten down on Denver in a buy-low spot at home, steaming the Pioneers up from -2.5 to -3.5. Denver is receiving 63% of spread bets but 90% of spread dollars, a notable bet split indicating slight public support but also heavy smart money from respected bettors. Denver has a massive edge in terms of offensive efficiency (98th vs 264th), as well as having the better three-point shooting (37% vs 34%), free-throw shooting (73% vs 71%) and also turns the ball over far less (18th vs 261st). Denver is averaging 84 PPG compared to 72 PPG for Kansas City. Ken Pom has Denver winning by three points (80-77). As a result, savvy bettors might prefer a Denver moneyline play (-165) instead of laying the points. Denver is 10-3 at home, playing well at altitude. Meanwhile, Kansas City is 4-9 on the road. Denver enjoys a two-day rest advantage, having last played on February 22nd compared to Kansas City last playing on February 24th. This is also a revenge spot for Denver, who lost to Kansas City on the road 85-71 in early February.
9 p.m. ET: Hawaii at UC Davis (-2, 138)
Hawaii (16-12) has won four of their last five games and just took down Long Beach State 73-65. On the flip side, UC Davis (16-12) has dropped four of their last five games and just got crushed by Cal State Bakersfield 75-56. This line opened with UC Davis listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Pros seem to think this opener was a bit short and have gotten down on UC Davis, driving the home team up from -1.5 to -2. UC Davis is receiving 76% of spread bets but 91% of spread dollars, signaling lopsided support in their favor. This is also one of the lowest bet games of the day, so it’s safe to assume that the majority of tickets and dollars are coming from wiseguys who have targeted UC Davis. UC Davis is in a classic buy-low, sell-high spot as they have lost four of their last five while Hawaii has won four of their last five. UC Davis has the edge in defensive efficiency (122nd vs 161st). UC Davis also ranks 22nd in the country at forcing turnovers while Hawaii ranks 266th. Ken Pom has UC Davis winning by two points (69-67). Those looking to protect themselves from what could be a close game may prefer to play UC Davis on the moneyline at -135. UC Davis is 9-6 at home. Hawaii is 3-5 on the road. This is also a revenge spot for UC Davis, who lost to Hawaii on the road 87-70 earlier this month.
