Today a new week begins with a 21-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7 p.m. ET: Alcorn State at Florida A&M (-3.5, 137.5)

Alcorn State (8-17) has won four in a row and just upset Bethune Cookman 78-74, winning outright as 6.5-point road dogs. Similarly, Florida A&M (11-12) has won three straight and just held off Jackson State 76-71, winning outright as 2.5-point home dogs.

This line opened with Florida A&M listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have gotten down hard on the home chalk, steaming Florida A&M up from -1.5 to -3.5. This movement is especially notable considering the fact that this is an added/extra game, which means it’s one of the least bet games of the night and the public can’t even find it on their betting menu. As a result, we can infer that pros have specifically targeted the matchup.

At DraftKings, Florida A&M is receiving 61% of spread bets and 72% of spread dollars. At Circa, Florida A&M is taking in 75% of spread bets but over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a heavy smart money discrepancy in favor of the home chalk Rattlers.

Ken Pom has Florida A&M winning by one point (69-68). As a result, savvy bettors may prefer a moneyline play (-165) instead of laying the points. At DraftKings, the Rattlers are receiving 75% of moneyline bets and 87% of moneyline dollars, a heavy one-way split in favor of a home victory.

Florida A&M has the better offensive efficiency (317th vs 330th) and effective field goal percentage (49% vs 46%).

Florida A&M is 7-2 at home. Alcorn State is 3-15 on the road.

9 p.m. ET: Kansas State at Utah (-2.5, 146.5)

Kansas State (13-12) just saw their six-game winning streak come to an end, falling to BYU 80-65 and failing to cover as 7.5-road dogs. On the other hand, Utah (14-11) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 74-67 win over Kansas, winning outright as 6.5-point home dogs.

This line opened with Utah listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and 66% of spread bets at DraftKings are backing Kansas State plus the points. However, despite two-thirds of tickets taking the Wildcats, we’ve seen this line move further toward Utah -1.5 to -2.5. Some shops are even approaching Utah -3. This signals sharp “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement on Utah, has the line has moved in their direction despite being the unpopular play.

At DraftKings, Utah is only receiving 34% of spread bets but a whopping 90% of spread dollars. At Circa, Utah is only taking in 33% of spread bets but a hefty 71% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a massive sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Utes.

Ken Pom has Utah winning by two points (75-73). As a result, pros have specifically targeted Utah on the moneyline (-145). At Circa, the Utes are receiving 50% of moneyline bets but 74% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers banking on Utah to earn a straight up win on their home court.

Utah has the better offensive rebound percentage (33% vs 30%) and limits their opponents to a 48% effective field goal percentage compared to 50% for Kansas State. The Utes are averaging 39 rebounds per game compared to 34 rebounds per game for the Wildcats.

Utah is 13-3 at home. Kansas State is 2-7 on the road.

10 p.m. ET: Arizona at Baylor (-1.5, 152.5)

Arizona (17-8, ranked 13th) has dropped two in a row and just came up short against Houston 62-58, failing to cover as 2.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Baylor (16-9) has rotated wins and losses over their last six games and just outlasted West Virginia 74-71 in overtime but failed to cover as 8.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Baylor listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Even when factoring in home court advantage, why is an unranked team favored over a ranked team? The public is grabbing the points with Arizona. However, despite 72% of spread bets backing the Wildcats we haven’t seen this line budge off Baylor -1.5. In fact, some shops are even juicing up the Bears -1.5 (-115), signaling a possible rise up to -2. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Bears, as the line has stayed the same despite the heavy betting on trendy dog Arizona.

At DraftKings, Baylor is only receiving 28% of spread bets, making the Bears the top “bet against the public” play of the night. At Circa, Baylor is taking in 50% of spread bets but 72% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

Ken Pom has Baylor winning by one point (77-76). With this in mind, wiseguys have preferred to pay a few more cents of juice and take the Bears on the moneyline at -120. At Circa, Baylor is receiving 71% of moneyline bets but a heavy 89% of moneyline dollars.

Baylor has the better offensive efficiency (12th vs 23rd), three-point shooting (36% vs 31%) and is better at forcing turnovers (76th vs 161st).

Baylor is 12-1 at home this season. Unranked home favorites vs ranked opponents are 24-15 (62%) straight up this season.

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