The following college football betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 2. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college footballboard.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top college football trends and systems for this week’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

 

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CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #3 -FCS foes not adequate prep for conference play: Teams that are double-digit conference favorites in Game 2 after having just an FCS opening game under their belt have gone just 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS (12.5%) over the last 12 seasons.
System Match (FADE ALL): NAVY (-12.5 vs. Temple), UTAH (-14 vs. Baylor), LIBERTY (-21.5 at New Mexico State)

ARKANSAS is 0-12 (0.0%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+7 at Oklahoma State) 

TROY is 16-3 (84.2%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2021
System Match: PLAY TROY (+18 at Memphis)

MICHIGAN STATE at MARYLAND
*Under the total is 8-0-1 in MSU-Maryland rivalry since 2014
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 44)

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game which was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next contest, going just 130-173 ATS (42.9%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE): OREGON (-19 vs. Boise St)

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season, where the totals reached 57 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): SAM HOUSTON ST-UCF

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to Makinen POWER RATINGS projections: MISSISSIPPI STATE +6.5 at Arizona State (+8.3 diff)

**INTRIGUING STABILITY SCORE PLAYS BELOW** 

College Football Stability Score Plays for Week 2

If you were one of the many readers of the 2024 College Football Betting Guide, or alternatively, have been a VSiN subscriber for a while now. If so, you’re probably already familiar with the methodology Steve Makinen has successfully used for the last 12 years or so regarding college football Stability Scores heading into the start of each season. If not, in a nutshell, what these scores are is a quantitative way to determine each team’s level of stability as compared to how they left us in the prior season. It is one of the foremost strategies he employs yearly to find value early. The thought behind it is that teams in more stable year-to-year situations are better bets early, while those that have undergone a lot of change in the offseason should be faded.

Steve keeps a handy chart on the Stability Scores of each FBS team and publishes them weekly for Week 0-3. He has found that a Stability Mismatch score of 8 is the minimum on which he will consider a play for this thought process. Here are this week’s qualifying plays. (In 2024, these plays are 7-4 ATS).There is a separate article on VSiN that goes in-depth about these plays and scores.

Saturday, September 7, 2024

(305) GEORGIA TECH (-3) at (306) SYRACUSE
Stability Advantage: GEORGIA TECH by 10 

(311) TROY at (312) MEMPHIS (-18)
Stability Advantage: MEMPHIS by 15

(319) TEXAS (-6.5) at (320) MICHIGAN
Stability Advantage: TEXAS by 18

(321) ARKANSAS at (200) OKLAHOMA STATE (-8)
Stability Advantage: OKLAHOMA STATE by 8

(337) E MICHIGAN (+27.5) at (338) WASHINGTON
Stability Advantage: E MICHIGAN by 9

(343) MICHIGAN STATE at (344) MARYLAND (-7.5)
Stability Advantage: MARYLAND by 9

(347) MIDDLE TENN STATE at (348) OLE MISS (-42)
Stability Advantage: OLE MISS by 15

(349) MARSHALL at (350) VIRGINIA TECH (-17)
Stability Advantage: VIRGINIA TECH by 10

(359) SOUTH FLORIDA (+31) at (360) ALABAMA
Stability Advantage: SOUTH FLORIDA by 11

(361) BUFFALO at (362) MISSOURI (-34)
Stability Advantage: MISSOURI by 12

(371) UAB (-13) at (372) LA MONROE
Stability Advantage: UAB by 16

(391) LIBERTY (-22) at (392) NEW MEXICO STATE
Stability Advantage: LIBERTY by 16 

(395) MISSISSIPPI STATE at (396) ARIZONA STATE (-6.5)
Stability Advantage: ARIZONA STATE by 8

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems only include games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NORTHWESTERN, GEORGIA TECH, PENN STATE, MEMPHIS, TEXAS, AUBURN, LOUISVILLE, NAVY, KENTUCKY, TOLEDO, IOWA, TEXAS STATE, OLE MISS, EAST CAROLINA, SOUTH ALABAMA, ALABAMA, MISSOURI, VIRGINIA, KANSAS, NEVADA, AIR FORCE, UAB, ARKANSAS STATE, KENNESAW STATE, OHIO STATE, TENNESSEE, OKLAHOMA, LIBERTY

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%; in 2023, it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): GEORGIA TECH, KANSAS STATE, PENN STATE, MEMPHIS, TEXAS, AUBURN, LOUISVILLE, NAVY, UTAH, KENTUCKY, NORTH CAROLINA, NOTRE DAME, WASHINGTON, TOLEDO, IOWA, OLE MISS, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, ALABAMA, MISSOURI, KANSAS, UAB, OHIO STATE, TENNESSEE, OKLAHOMA, USC 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): GEORGIA TECH, KANSAS STATE, TEXAS, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, EAST CAROLINA, SOUTH ALABAMA, KANSAS, UAB, LIBERTY

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, AKRON, ARMY, BAYLOR, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, SAM HOUSTON STATE, VIRGINIA, APPALACHIAN STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, MARSHALL, TULSA, MISSISSIPPI STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This shows that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SMU (-10.5 vs. BYU), NORTHWESTERN (-2.5 vs. Duke) 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in an FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SMU, GEORGIA TECH, MEMPHIS, ARMY, LOUISVILLE, TOLEDO, NORTH CAROLINA, NAVY, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, EAST CAROLINA, NEVADA, OHIO STATE, OKLAHOMA, APPALACHIAN STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): SAM HOUSTON ST-UCF

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DUKE-NORTHWESTERN, AKRON-RUTGERS, ARMY-FAU, SOUTH CAROLINA-KENTUCKY, IOWA STATE-IOWA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): AKRON-RUTGERS, TEXAS-MICHIGAN, NIU-NOTRE DAME, MICHIGAN STATE-MARYLAND 

College Football Game 2 Reactionary Systems

These systems take into account traits about a team’s season opener and how they affect their second game.

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #1- FCS letdown: Teams that faced an FBS foe in Game 1 and are favored by 30 points or more versus an FCS opponent for Game 2 have gone just 80-105-5 ATS (43.2%) since 2012. This includes a 7-12 ATS mark a year ago.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA, TEXAS A&M, GEORGIA, UNLV, BOSTON COLLEGE, MIAMI (FL), JAMES MADISON, STANFORD, FLORIDA, RICE, LSU, VANDERBILT, TCU, ARIZONA

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #2 – FCS Game 2 foes not an easy rebound: Teams coming off an FBS loss in Game 1 and favored big (>=24 points) over an FCS team in Game 2 have gone just 42-64-1 ATS (39.6%) since 2012.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA, TEXAS A&M, WEST VIRGINIA, STANFORD, FLORIDA, COLORADO ST, RICE, LSU

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #3 -FCS foes not adequate prep for conference play: Teams that are double-digit conference favorites in Game 2 after having just an FCS opening game under their belt have gone just 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS (12.5%) over the last 12 seasons.
System Match (FADE ALL): NAVY (-12.5 vs. Temple), UTAH (-14 vs. Baylor), LIBERTY (-21.5 at NM State)

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #4 – Home cooking not enough to revive struggling offense: Teams that scored 10 points or fewer in their season-opening losses of 17 points or more have responded with just a 39-56-2 ATS (41.1%) record when playing at home in Game #2 over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE ALL): CLEMSON, FRESNO STATE, UCONN, FIU, UTEP, WYOMING, WESTERN KENTUCKY, COLORADO STATE, SOUTHERN MISS

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #5 – Oddsmakers don’t have a true grasp on some teams early: Teams whose lines swing grossly huge amounts from Game 1 to Game 2 have performed predictably, with 52 points being the benchmark. Those teams whose lines are 52 points or more worse in Game 2 than their opener are on a 37-17 ATS (68%) run, including 1-0 ATS already in 2024 after Hawaii’s close loss to UCLA last week. Teams whose lines are >=52 points better than the opener have gone just 18-26-2 ATS (40.9%) over the last 12 seasons.
System Match (PLAY ALL): ARKANSAS (+7.5 vs. Oklahoma State), NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+28.5 at Notre Dame), MIDDLE TENN STATE (+41.5 at Ole Miss), SOUTH FLORIDA (+31 at Alabama), UTAH STATE (+28.5 at USC)
(FADE ALL): BOSTON COLLEGE (vs. Duquesne), COLORADO STATE (vs. N Colorado)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* KENTUCKY is 15-16 SU and 19-12 ATS (61.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY KENTUCKY (-10 vs South Carolina) 

* CALIFORNIA is 18-20 SU and 23-15 ATS (60.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY CALIFORNIA (+13.5 at Auburn) 

* NAVY is 12-23 SU and 22-13 ATS (62.9%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY NAVY (-13 vs. Temple)

* SOUTH FLORIDA is 5-24 SU and 18-11 ATS (62.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY SOUTH FLORIDA (+31 at Alabama)

Worst

* MASSACHUSETTS is 3-22 SU and 10-15 ATS (40%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: FADE MASSACHUSETTS (+20 at Toledo)

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 597-535 ATS (52.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NORTHWESTERN, SYRACUSE, PITTSBURGH, CALIFORNIA, NAVY, BAYLOR, KENTUCKY, IOWA STATE, MICHIGAN STATE, SOUTH FLORIDA, ILLINOIS, SAN JOSE STATE, NEBRASKA, NEW MEXICO STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE

College Football Systems Based Upon AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 170-84 SU and 145-101-8 ATS (58.9%).
System Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+7.5 vs. Texas)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Huge week-to-week point spread movement
CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 89-60 ATS (59.7%).
System Match (PLAY ALL): ARKANSAS (+7.5 vs. Oklahoma State), NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+28.5 at Notre Dame), MIDDLE TENN STATE (+41.5 at Ole Miss), SOUTH FLORIDA (+31 at Alabama), UTAH STATE (+28.5 at USC)

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game which was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next contest, going just 130-173 ATS (42.9%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE): OREGON (-19 vs. Boise State)

Prolific offensive performances don’t last
FBS teams that gain 735 or more yards offensively in their prior game have gone just 28-44 ATS (38.9%) in the follow-up contest since 2012.
System Match (FADE): OLE MISS (-41.5 vs. Middle Tenn St)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances
Over the course of the last decade, CFB teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 132-96 ATS (57.9%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OLE MISS, AUBURN, TENNESSEE, ARKANSAS, ALABAMA, LOUISVILLE, SMU

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN WEEKLY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis). 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MISSISSIPPI STATE +6.5 (+8.3)
2. TROY +19 (+4.8)
3. MARSHALL +20 (+4.3)
4. CALIFORNIA +13 (+4.0)
5. SOUTH CAROLINA +10 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA STATE -7.5 (+5.0)
2. SMU -10.5 (+4.6)
3. WASHINGTON -27.5 (+3.7)
4. MISSOURI -34.5 (+2.8)
5. NAVY -12.5 (+2.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SOUTH CAROLINA +10 (+6.6)
2. JACKSONVILLE STATE +28.5 (+4.3)
3. APPALACHIAN STATE +17.5 (+4.2)
4. UL MONROE +13.5 (+4.1)
5. CALIFORNIA +13 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OREGON -19 (+8.0)
2. RUTGERS -22.5 (+6.1)
3. WASHINGTON -27.5 (+6.0)
4. OKLAHOMA -29 (+4.9)
5. IOWA -2.5 (+4.8)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. AKRON-RUTGERS OVER 39.5 (+6.3)
2. DUKE-NORTHWESTERN OVER 37 (+5.5)
3. TEXAS-MICHIGAN OVER 43 (+4.5)
4. MIDDLE TENN STATE-OLE MISS OVER 63.5 (+4.4)
5. OREGON STATE-SDSU OVER 55 (+4.0)

This week’s Top 5BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TROY-MEMPHIS UNDER 57.5 (-7.4)
2. UTSA-TEXAS STATE UNDER 63.5 (-5.3)
3. UAB-ULM UNDER 53 (-3.0)
4. GA SOUTHERN-NEVADA UNDER 57.5 (-2.5)
5. TULSA-ARKANSAS STATE UNDER 65.5 (-1.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MISSISSIPPI STATE +6.5 (+7.5)
2. UL MONROE +13.5 (+5.1)
3. SOUTH CAROLINA +10 (+4.6)
4. TROY +19 (+4.3)
5. MARSHALL +20 (+4.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. CINCINNATI -2 (+4.8)
2. OREGON -19 (+4.2)
3. SMU -10.5 (+4.1)
4. TENNESSEE -8 (+3.8)
5. OKLAHOMA STATE-7.5 (+3.7)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS-MICHIGAN OVER 43 (+6.9)
2. DUKE-NORTHWESTERN OVER 37 (+6.6)
3. SOUTH CAROLINA-KENTUCKY OVER 42.5 (+6.4)
4. AKRON-RUTGERS OVER 39.5 (+6.3)
5. MICHIGAN STATE-MARYLAND OVER 43.5 (+5.1)

This week’s Top 5BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS TECH-WASHINGTON STATE UNDER 65.5 (-6.1)
2. EAST CAROLINA-OLD DOMINION UNDER 53.5 (-5.9)
3. COLORADO-NEBRASKA UNDER 57.5 (-4.2)
4(tie). UTSA-TEXAS STATE UNDER 63.5 (-4.1)
S ALABAMA-OHIO UNDER 56 (-4.1)
UTAH STATE-USC UNDER 63.5 (-4.1) 

These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* ALABAMA is on a 21-7 ATS (75%) surge at home
System Match: PLAY ALABAMA (-31 vs. USF) 

* ARIZONA STATE is 3-8 ATS (27.3%) in the last three seasons in Non-Conference games
System Match: FADE ARIZONA STATE (-6.5 vs. Mississippi State) 

* ARKANSAS is 0-12 (0.0%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+7 at Oklahoma State)

* BALL STATE is 31-14 (68.9%) Under the total over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Missouri State-Ball State

* BOWLING GREEN is 13-30 (30.2%) ATS as Underdog since 2019

* BOWLING GREEN is 5-12 (29.4%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2019
Systems Match: FADE BOWLING GREEN (+34.5 at Penn State)

* CALIFORNIA is 24-13 (64.9%) ATS as underdog since 2018
System Match: PLAY CALIFORNIA (+13.5 at Auburn) 

* DUKE is 30-13 (69.8%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2014
System Match: PLAY DUKE (+2.5 at Northwestern)

* E MICHIGAN is 37-15 (71.2%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2016
System Match: PLAY EASTERN MICHIGAN (+27.5 at Washington)

* FLORIDA is 5-16 (23.8%) ATS in Non-Conference games in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE FLORIDA (vs. Samford) 

* FRESNO ST is 26-14 (65%) Under the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Sacramento State-Fresno State 

* GEORIGA TECH is 6-18 ATS (25%) as a favorite since 2018
System Match: FADE GEORGIA TECH (-3 at Syracuse) 

* IOWA is 42-21 (66.7%) Under the total in the last 63 games
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Iowa State-Iowa (o/u at 35.5)

* IOWA STATE is 15-7(68.2%) ATS as Underdog since 2021
System Match: PLAY IOWA STATE (+2.5 at Iowa) 

* JAMES MADISON is 20-7 (74.1%) ATS as Favorite since 2020
System Match: PLAY JAMES MADISON (vs. Gardner-Webb)

* KANSAS is 3-12 (20%) ATS as Favorite since 2018

* KANSAS is 32-16 (66.7%) Over the total since 2019
Systems Match: FADE KANSAS (-5.5 at Illinois), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 55.5) 

* KANSAS STATE is 40-22-2 (64.5%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-9.5 at Tulane)

* LOUISVILLE is 4-10 (28.6%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE LOUISVILLE (-28 vs. Jax St)

* LSU is 20-8 Over the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in Nicholls State-LSU

 * MICHIGAN is 29-14-1 (67.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 16-5 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (+7 vs. Texas) 

* MISSISSIPPI ST is 24-14 (63.2%) Under the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Mississippi State-Arizona State (o/u at 57)

* NEBRASKA is 3-12 (20%) ATS at home in the last 15
System Match: FADE NEBRASKA (-7 vs. Colorado)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 26-15 (63.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+22 vs. Liberty)

* OLD DOMINION is 7-17 (29.2%) ATS at home since 2019
System Match: FADE OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs. East Carolina)

* OREGON STATE is 24-11 (68.6%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2016
System Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-4 at SDSU)

* PENN STATE is 30-11 (73.2%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2019
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (-34.5 vs. Bowling Green)

* PITTSBURGH is 34-16 (68%) Over the total since 2020

* PITTSBURGH is 0-6 (0%) ATS in the last six games as a road underdog
Systems Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+2.5 at Cincinnati), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 59) 

* RUTGERS has gone 11-3 (78.6%) ATS in the last 14 Non-Conference games
System Match: PLAY RUTGERS (-23 vs. Akron)

* SAM HOUSTON STATE is 15-3 (83.3%) ATS as underdog since 2017
System Match: PLAY SAM HOUSTON STATE (+21 at UCF) 

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 40-19 (67.8%) Under the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Oregon State-SDSU (o/u at 55) 

* STANFORD is 5-15 (25%) ATS in the last 20 home games
System Match: FADE STANFORD (vs. Cal Poly)

* TEMPLE is 4-13 (23.5%) ATS in road games over the last three seasons
Systems Match: FADE TEMPLE (+13.5 at Navy)

 * TENNESSEE is 12-1 (92.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021
System Match: PLAY TENNESSEE (-7.5 at NC State) 

* TEXAS A&M is 17-6 (73.9%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2018
System Match: PLAY TEXAS A&M (vs. McNeese State) 

* TROY is 16-3 (84.2%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
System Match: PLAY TROY (+18 at Memphis) 

* TULSA is 22-8-1 ATS in road/neutral games over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+7.5 at Arkansas State) 

* UNLV is 20-5 (80%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2017

* UNLV is on a 12-4 ATS run following a SU win
Systems Match: PLAY UNLV (vs. Utah Tech) 

* UTEP is 6-17(26.1%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: FADE UTEP (vs Southern Utah) 

* VANDERBILT is on a 2-10 (16.7%) ATS skid following a SU win
System Match: FADE VANDERBILT (vs. Alcorn State) 

* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 9-21 (30%) ATS as Favorite since 2019
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs EKU) 

* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 16-7 ATS (69.6%) at HOME in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (vs. Albany)

These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(331) SOUTH CAROLINA at (332) KENTUCKY
*Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of South Carolina-Kentucky rivalry
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 45) 

(341) IOWA STATE at (342) IOWA
*Under the total is 8-0 in the last eight of Iowa State-Iowa rivalry at Iowa City
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 35.5) 

(343) MICHIGAN STATE at (344) MARYLAND
*Under the total is 8-0-1 in MSU-Maryland rivalry since 2014
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 44)

(363) VIRGINIA at (364) WAKE FOREST
*WAKE FOREST is on streaks of five straight outright and seven straight ATS versus Virginia
System Match: PLAY WAKE FOREST (-2 vs. UVA) 

(381) COLORADO at (382) NEBRASKA
*COLORADO is on a 6-1 ATS surge vs. Nebraska
System Match: PLAY COLORADO (+7 at Nebraska)

Others of note…

(303) DUKE at (304) NORTHWESTERN
*DUKE has won the last five ATS in the head-to-head series
System Match: PLAY DUKE (+2.5 at Northwestern)

(327) TEMPLE at (328) NAVY
*Underdogs have won eight of the last 11 in the series
System Match: PLAY TEMPLE (+13.5 at Navy)

For more College Football Week 2 predictions, visit the College Football Week 2 Hub at VSiN.com.

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