The following college football betting trends piece is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 7. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN analyst AJ Makinen.

 

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– Home teams are on 10-1 ATS surge in the Ole Miss-LSU series
System Match (PLAY): LSU (+3.5 vs. Ole Miss)

– Under the total is 9-2 in the Appalachian State-Louisiana series since 2014
System Match (PLAY): Under the total in Appalachian State-Louisiana (o/u at 65)

– Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 209-163 ATS (56.2%) since 2016
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE (-20.5 vs. New Mexico State), LOUISIANA TECH (-4.5 vs. Middle Tennessee State), KENT STATE (+6.5 vs. Ball State), ILLINOIS (-19 vs. Purdue)

– NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 15-3 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 18 tries
System Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+3 at Bowling Green)

– LOUISIANA-MONROE is on a 1-15 ATS skid as a home favorite in Sun Belt play
System Match (FADE): LOUISIANA-MONROE (-6.5 vs. Southern Miss)

– Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 26-45 ATS (36.6%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE): COLORADO (+4 vs. Kansas State)

#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
ARKANSAS STATE-TEXAS STATE UNDER 64 (-7.3)

* NEW MEXICO is 4-16 (20%) ATS as a favorite since ’18
Systems Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-6.5 vs. Air Force)

* FLORIDA ATLANTIC is 4-16 (20%) ATS in it last 20 games following a SU win
System Match: FADE FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+6.5 vs. North Texas)

Strategies using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits data

One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems include only games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the college football betting trend systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): JAMES MADISON, LOUISIANA TECH, WESTERN KENTUCKY, UNLV, MISSOURI, CLEMSON, ARMY, ILLINOIS, PITTSBURGH, LOUISVILLE, CINCINNATI, SAN DIEGO STATE, PENN STATE, BYU, WASHINGTON STATE, NORTH TEXAS, LOUISIANA, NEVADA, NEW MEXICO, MARSHALL, MINNESOTA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LOUISIANA TECH, MISSOURI, ARMY, ILLINOIS, PITTSBURGH, BYU, WASHINGTON STATE, NORTH TEXAS, LOUISIANA, VANDERBILT, SYRACUSE, MINNESOTA, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in ’23 but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UNLV, UTAH, MEMPHIS, MISSOURI, BALL STATE, CLEMSON, LOUISVILLE, SAN DIEGO STATE, PENN STATE, OHIO, WASHINGTON STATE, NORTH TEXAS, TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO, OLE MISS, OHIO STATE, IOWA STATE, MARSHALL, SYRACUSE, MINNESOTA, KANSAS STATE, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, AKRON, CINCINNATI, STANFORD, MISSISSIPPI STATE, SOUTHERN MISS, VANDERBILT

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for ’23, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): WISCONSIN, WASHINGTON, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, CINCINNATI, STANFORD, MISSISSIPPI STATE, VANDERBILT

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL):
Tuesday: LIBERTY
Wednesday: JACKSONVILLE STATE
Thursday: JAMES MADISON, LOUISIANA TECH, W KENTUCKY
Friday: MARYLAND, UNLV, UTAH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in a FBS vs. FBS game for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE, WESTERN KENTUCKY, MEMPHIS, MARYLAND, UNLV, ALABAMA, CLEMSON, MISSOURI, RUTGERS, BALL STATE, ARMY, EASTERN MICHIGAN, PENN STATE, PITTSBURGH, ILLINOIS, SAN DIEGO STATE, GEORGIA STATE, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, BYU, TENNESSEE, WASHINGTON STATE, NORTH TEXAS, TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO, OLE MISS, LOUISIANA, IOWA STATE, SYRACUSE, MINNESOTA, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the ’22 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1,567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): GEORGIA TECH-NORTH CAROLINA, ARKANSAS STATE-TEXAS STATE, APPALACHIAN STATE-LOUISIANA, MARSHALL-GEORGIA SOUTHERN

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the ’22 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): NONE YET

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the ’22 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): UTAH-ARIZONA STATE, TOLEDO-BUFFALO, WISCONSIN-RUTGERS, STANFORD-NOTRE DAME, SAN DIEGO STATE-WYOMING, SOUTHERN MISS-LOUISIANA-MONROE, MINNESOTA-UCLA

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following college football betting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* COASTAL CAROLINA is 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS (70%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): COASTAL CAROLINA (+9.5 at James Madison)

* LSU is 15-6 SU and 13-6 ATS (68.4%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): LSU (+3.5 vs. Ole Miss)

* KENT STATE is 9-18 SU and 16-11 ATS (59.3%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): KENT STATE (+6.5 vs. Ball State)

* CENTRAL MICHIGAN is 17-11 SU and 15-12 ATS (55.6%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+3 vs. Ohio)

* BUFFALO is 13-13 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (+9.5 vs. Toledo)

* SOUTH FLORIDA is 5-25 SU and 19-11 ATS (63.3%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (+7.5 vs. Memphis)

Worst

* CINCINNATI is 9-12 SU and 7-14 ATS (33.3%) in revenge mode since ’16
System Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (+3.5 at UCF)

College football revenge systems

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out

Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 105-116 ATS (47.5%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE ALL): MARYLAND (-10 vs. Northwestern), NORTH CAROLINA (+6 vs. Georgia Tech)

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 639-553 ATS (53.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA TECH, MARYLAND, ARIZONA STATE, VIRGINIA, TENNESSEE, CINCINNATI, LOUSIANA-MONROE, ILLINOIS, RUTGERS, TEXAS, LSU

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 209-163 ATS (56.2%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE (-20.5 vs. New Mexico State), LOUISIANA TECH (-4.5 vs. Middle Tennessee State), KENT STATE (+6.5 vs. Ball State), ILLINOIS (-19 vs. Purdue)

College Football Systems Based on AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll. 

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, HOME TEAMS are NOW 178-88 SU and 151-107-8 ATS (58.5%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OREGON (+3 vs. Ohio State), LSU (+3.5 vs. Ole Miss)

These college football betting trends are from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.

Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 72-102 ATS (41.4%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE): CALIFORNIA (+3 at Pitt)

Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 133-102 ATS (56.6%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY): MISSISSIPPI STATE (+34 at Georgia)

Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 26-45 ATS (36.6%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE): COLORADO (+4 vs. Kansas State)

Top Team Trends in Conference Games

Negative FADE trends:

• LOUSIANA-MONROE is on a 1-15 ATS skid as a home favorite in Sun Belt play
System Match (FADE): LOUSIANA-MONROE (-6.5 vs. Southern Miss)

• UCF has lost its last eight games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): UCF (-3.5 vs. Cincinnati)

• ILLINOIS is on a 2-14 ATS skid as a conference home favorite
System Match (FADE): ILLINOIS (-19 vs. Purdue)

• MEMPHIS is on a 3-16 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
System Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-7.5 at USF)

Positive PLAY trends:

• TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO has won its last nine conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
System Match (PLAY): UTSA (-6 at Rice)

• OLD DOMINION has won eight of its last nine games ATS as a conference underdog
System Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+1.5 at Georgia State)

• PURDUE has a respectable 11-1 ATS record in its last 12 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points
System Match (PLAY): PURDUE (*if they become 20-point underdogs at Illinois, +19 currently*)

• BOISE STATE takes care of business as a Mountain West favorite of 20+ points, 11-1 ATS in its last 12
System Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-20.5 at Hawaii)

• PENN STATE has become a very reliable Big Ten favorite, 17-6 ATS in its last 23
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-5 at USC)

• GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 13-2 ATS
System Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (-1.5 vs. Old Dominion)

• NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 15-3 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 18 tries
System Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+3 at Bowling Green)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Upset losses as huge favorites snowball
Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 39-66 SU and 36-65-4 ATS (35.6%) in the follow-up game since 2012.
System Match (FADE): ALABAMA (-21 vs. South Carolina)

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next one, going just 131-182-1 ATS (41.9%) over the last decade-plus.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO (+9.5 vs. Toledo), FRESNO STATE (+3.5 vs. Washington State), COLORADO (+4 vs. Kansas State)

Playing well offensively but losing a good sign for next outing
College football teams that lost a game as an underdog despite gaining 550 or more yards on offense have bounced back well lately, going 59-40-2 ATS (59.6%) over the last 10 years.
System Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3.5 at UCF)

This week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN POWER RATINGS page under the College Football tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UAB +26 (+5.7)
2. ARIZONA STATE +6.5 (+4.9)
3. RICE +6 (+3.9)
4. SOUTH FLORIDA +7.5 (+3.7)
5. VANDERBILT +13.5 (+3.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. LOUISIANA TECH -4.5 (+3.9)
2. SAN JOSE STATE -1.5 (+3.4)
3. MINNESOTA -5 (+3.2)
4. LOUISVILLE -7 (+3.1)
5. LOUISIANA-MONROE -6.5 (+2.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +16.5 (+10.2)
2. ARIZONA STATE +6.5 (+9.0)
3. USC +5 (+7.9)
4. RICE +6 (+6.9)
5. UTAH STATE +19 (+5.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1(tie). ARMY -26 (+5.8)
NEW MEXICO -6.5 (+5.8)
3. TOLEDO -9.5 (+5.7)
4. BOISE STATE -20.5 (+4.6)
5. OHIO STATE -3 (+4.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SAN DIEGO STATE-WYOMING OVER 42 (+6.5)
2. NORTHWESTERN-MARYLAND OVER 45.5 (+5.4)
3. OHIO-CENTRAL MICHIGAN OVER 48.5 (+4.8)
4(tie). TOLEDO-BUFFALO OVER 44.5 (+4.5)
SOUTH CAROLINA-ALABAMA OVER 50.5 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. APPALACHIAN STATE-LOUISIANA UNDER 65 (-6.1)
2. ARKANSAS STATE-TEXAS STATE UNDER 64 (-5.3)
3. WASHINGTON-IOWA UNDER 41.5 (-3.5)
4. MARSHALL-GEORGIA SOUTHERN UNDER 61.5 (-3.1)
5. CINCINNATI-UCF UNDER 59 (-2.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UAB +26 (+20.8)
2. PURDUE +19 (+11.4)
3. NORTH CAROLINA +6 (+9.8)
4. NEW MEXICO STATE +20.5 (+9.6)
5. ARIZONA +5 (+9.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UCF -3.5 (+10.4)
2. MISSOURI -27.5 (+7.8)
3. KANSAS STATE -4 (+6.9)
4. IOWA -2.5 (+6.1)
5. LOUISVILLE -7 (+5.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS-OKLAHOMA OVER 49.5 (+5.4)
2. OHIO-OREGON OVER 53 (+4.8)
3. ARIZONA-BYU OVER 49.5 (+4.2)
4. FLORIDA-TENNESSEE OVER 55.5 (+3.7)
5(tie). WISCONSIN-RUTGERS OVER 40.5 (+3.2)
SDSU-WYOMING OVER 42 (+3.2)
MINNESOTA-UCLA OVER 40 (+3.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARKANSAS STATE-TEXAS STATE UNDER 64 (-7.3)
2. UTEP-WESTERM KENTUCKY UNDER 57 (-5.4)
3. BALL STATE-KENT STATE UNDER 59.5 (-5.3)
4. MISSOURI-UMASS UNDER 54 (-4.4)
5. MIAMI OHIO-EASTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 46.5 (-4.3)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years:

* ALABAMA is on a 22-8 ATS (73.3%) surge at Home
System Match: PLAY ALABAMA (-21 vs. South Carolina)

* ARIZONA is 17-27 (38.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’16
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (+5 at BYU)

* ARIZONA STATE is 24-14-1 (63.2%) ATS as Underdog since ’18
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA STATE (+6.5 vs. Utah)

* BALL STATE is 32-18 (64%) UNDER the total over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Ball State-Kent State (o/u at 59.5)

* BUFFALO is 20-9 (69%) ATS at Home since ’19
System Match: PLAY BUFFALO (+9.5 vs. Toledo)

* CALIFORNIA is 26-14 (65%) ATS as Underdog since ’18
System Match: PLAY CALIFORNIA (+3 at Pitt)

* CLEMSON is 19-10 (65.5%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’20
System Match: PLAY CLEMSON (-20 at Wake Forest)

* FLORIDA ATLANTIC is 4-16 (20%) ATS in its last 20 games following a SU win
System Match: FADE FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+6.5 vs. North Texas)

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 10-26 (27.8%) in Conference games over the last six seasons
System Match: FADE FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+16 at Liberty)

* FRESNO STATE is 27-16-1 (62.8%) UNDER the total since ’21
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Washington State-Fresno State (o/u at 61.5)

* GEORIGA TECH is 7-19-1 ATS (26.9%) as a Favorite since 2018
System Match: FADE GEORGIA TECH (-6 at UNC)

* IOWA is 43-24 (64.2%) UNDER the total in its last 67 games
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Washington-Iowa (o/u at 41.5)

* JAMES MADISON is 21-9 (70%) ATS as Favorite since ’20
System Match: PLAY JAMES MADISON (-9.5 vs. Coastal Carolina)

* KANSAS STATE is 42-24-2 (63.6%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-4 at Colorado)

* KENT STATE is 6-20 (23.1%) ATS in its last 26 games as an Underdog
System Match: FADE KENT STATE (+6.5 vs. Ball State)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 32-18-1 (64%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 6-18 (25%) ATS in Conference games over the last four seasons
Systems Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-4.5 vs. Middle Tennessee State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 49.5)

* LSU is 22-10 (68.8%) OVER the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in Ole Miss-LSU (o/u at 63.5)

* MIAMI OHIO is on a 32-16 (66.7%) UNDER the total run over L5 seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Miami Ohio-Eastern Michigan (o/u at 45)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 26-16 (61.9%) UNDER the total since ’21
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Miss State-Georgia (o/u at 53.5)

* NEW MEXICO is 17-38 (30.9%) ATS in Conference games since ’17
* NEW MEXICO is 4-16 (20%) ATS as Favorite since ’18
Systems Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-6.5 vs. Air Force)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 27-18 (60%) ATS in the last five seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+20.5 at Jacksonville State)

* OLE MISS is 7-16-2 (30.4%) ATS in Conference games since ’21
System Match: FADE OLE MISS (-3.5 at LSU)

* OREGON STATE is 25-13 (65.8%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’16
System Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-4 at Nevada)

* PENN STATE is 31-14 (68.9%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’19
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (-5 at USC)

* PITTSBURGH is 36-18 (66.7%) OVER the total since 2020
System Match: PLAY OVER in Cal-Pitt (o/u at 59.5)

* PURDUE is 16-13 (55.2%) ATS as Underdog since ’20
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+19 at Illinois)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 42-21 (66.7%) UNDER the total since ’19
System Match: PLAY UNDER in SDSU-Wyoming (o/u at 42)

* VANDERBILT is on a 3-11 (21.4%) ATS skid following a SU win
System Match: FADE VANDERBILT (+13.5 at UK)

* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 11-21 (34.4%) ATS as Favorite since ’19
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (-19.5 vs. UTEP)

* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 17-8 ATS (68%) at HOME in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (+3 vs. Iowa State)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Week 7

Week 7

(113) MEMPHIS at (114) SOUTH FLORIDA
*ROAD TEAMS are on 9-0-1 ATS run in Memphis-USF series
System Match: PLAY MEMPHIS (-7.5 at USF)

(121) MIAMI OHIO at (122) EASTERN MICHIGAN
*UNDER the total is 6-0 in last six meetings
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 45.5)

(141) FLORIDA at (142) TENNESSEE
*FLORIDA is on 5-1 SU and ATS versus Tennessee
System Match: PLAY FLORIDA (+15 at Tennessee)

(151) CINCINNATI at (152) UCF
*HOME TEAMS have won the last six games ATS in the series
System Match: PLAY UCF (-3.5 vs. Cincinnati)

(155) TOLEDO at (156) BUFFALO
*HOME TEAMS are 6-1 in the last seven of the series
System Match: PLAY BUFFALO (+9.5 vs. Toledo)

(159) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO at (160) RICE
*UNDER the total is 9-2 in UTSA-Rice series since 2012
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 50.5)

(161) GEORGIA TECH at (162) NORTH CAROLINA
*OVER the total is 10-3 in Georgia Tech-UNC series since 2010
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 59)

(173) AIR FORCE at (174) NEW MEXICO
*OVER the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the series
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 54)

(183) STANFORD at (184) NOTRE DAME
*UNDER the total is 9-2 in the series in games at Notre Dame since 2000
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 45)

(187) OLE MISS at (188) LSU
*HOME TEAMS are on a 10-1 ATS surge in the Ole Miss-LSU series
System Match: PLAY LSU (+3.5 vs. Ole Miss)

(189) APPALACHIAN STATE at (190) LOUISIANA
*UNDER the total is 9-2 in Appalachian State-Louisiana series since 2014
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 65)

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