Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 16 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…
1:05 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (-115, 8.5) at Chicago Cubs
The Cubs (33-37) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning Friday night’s opener 10-3 as -135 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 3-2 as -130 home favorites. In this early afternoon series finale, the Orioles (43-27) hand the ball to righty Dean Kremer (7-3, 4.74 ERA) and the Cubs send out fellow righty Jameson Taillon (2-4, 6.70 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick’em with both sides listed at roughly -105 odds. Pros have sided with the Orioles to avoid the sweep, driving Baltimore up from -105 to -115. The Orioles are receiving 55% of bets but 85% of money, a notable sharp bet discrepancy. Road Interleague favorites are 67-35 (66%) this season, producing a 12% ROI. AL East teams facing non-AL East teams are 149-91 (62%) with an 8% ROI. The Orioles are 18-8 (69%) after a loss (31% ROI). Baltimore is 6-2 in Kremer’s last eight starts. Taillon has a 7.25 ERA in five home starts. The Orioles are 26-7 as a favorite, 26-18 against righties and 21-14 on the road. The Cubs are 13-21 as a dog and 21-18 against righties. Baltimore also has the fresher bullpen, tossing 8.1 innings over the last three games compared to 11 innings for Chicago.
2:35 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers (-120, 8.5)
This is the rubber match of a three-game series. The Blue Jays (39-33) took the opener 2-1, cashing as -155 road favorites. Then the Rangers (43-27) bounced back with a 4-2 win yesterday, taking care of business as -115 home favorites. In this afternoon series finale, Toronto starts righty Chris Bassitt (7-5, 4.02 ERA) and Texas counters with fellow righty Jon Gray (6-2, 2.32 ERA). This line opened with the Rangers listed as a short -115 home favorite and the Blue Jays a +105 road dog. Pros have pounced on Texas laying the cheap chalk price, steaming the Rangers up from -115 to -120. Texas is receiving 63% of bets but 81% of money, signaling slight public support but also heavy sharp action. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 113-55 (67%) this season, producing a 9% ROI. The Rangers are 27-14 as a favorite, 30-19 against righties and 23-13 at home. Gray has a 0.56 ERA in two June starts. Bassitt has a 4.82 ERA in three June starts and a 5.77 ERA on the road. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 9 to 8.5. The under is receiving 67% of bets and 78% of money, a sharp bet split.
