Game 2 New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction:

After a solid pitcher’s duel in Game 1 on Saturday, the New York Mets look to break through with their bats on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies and starter Cristopher Sanchez

Sanchez has the biggest home and road differential of any playoff pitcher who has logged at least 80 innings,. He has recorded a 2.21 ERA at home with less than 0.5 home runs per nine innings allowed compared to a 5.02 ERA on the road, though still only allowing 0.6 home runs per nine innings on the road.

 

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The Mets counter with an offense that had a .254 batting average on the road this season, ranking seventh in the league and nearly 4.8 runs per game, ranking eighth in that category.

Both teams also have shaky bullpens. From July 1 until the end of the regular season, the Mets bullpen ranked 21st with a 4.34 ERA, while the Phillies 4.49 ERA ranked 23rd.

The Philadelphia Phillies’ offense is fourth in the league in home runs hit per at-bat, while their nearly 5.1 runs per game at home during the regular season ranked second.

Mets starting pitcher Luis Severino will look to keep the Philadelphia Phillies’ bats silent. He has been far worse on the road than at home, recording a 2.96 ERA at home compared to a 4.96 ERA on the road between his regular season and postseason appearances.

With Severino having allowed at least three runs in four straight starts and both teams having explosive offenses and struggling bullpen, Game 2 will involve lots of runs being scored.

MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Over 7.5 Runs

To find more baseball value bets and MLB picks, visit Greg Peterson’s daily MLB lines.

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Greg Peterson
Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.