MLB Best Bets and Props
Another glorious Saturday of baseball awaits us with wall-to-wall games from 2:10 p.m. to 10:10 p.m. ET, giving us plenty of options for MLB best bets and props.
Below are two of my MLB best bets for Saturday, June 15, but be sure to price shop for the best odds available to you at the time of viewing.
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My name is Matt Williams, and I am going to be covering weekend MLB best bets and props all season long. Be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @MattWi77iams.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
4:05 pm ET
Trevor Rogers has not been all that impressive this season, but he has averaged Over four strikeouts per game over his last five, and is fresh off a 5 K performance versus a difficult Guardians lineup.
On Saturday, the Marlins southpaw takes on the Washington Nationals. Over the last 30 days, the Nats have a team-wide 26.4% K rate against left-handed pitchers with a 14.1% swinging strike rate & a 32.3% chase rate.
It may not be pretty, but 3.5 is a very low bar considering the variables at play.
This bet is pure value based on a solid matchup and available pricing.
MLB Best Bet: Trevor Rogers o3.5 K (-130)
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
4:10 pm ET
Adam Mazur’s strikeout line seems off considering his performance to date.
In two outings (nine innings), the 23-year-old has registered seven walks and just four strikeouts. Mazur has also maxed out at 82 pitches.
Meanwhile, the Mets are a difficult matchup from a strikeout perspective. New York holds a 19.1% strikeout rate over the last 14 days versus righties with a 10.5% swinging strike rate and 26.8% chase rate.
Mazur’s line should be set at 3.5, so we are getting solid value backing the Under at 4.5
MLB Best Bet: Adam Mazur Under 4.5 K (-133)
