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MLB value plays for Saturday, June 24
Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today’s menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.
Braves vs. Reds Total 11.5. Greg’s Total 10.7.
While both starting pitchers enter this game with an ERA above 4.55, both teams have solid bullpens. The Braves are seventh in bullpen ERA, and the Reds are 13th. The Reds also entered the series with the third-fewest home runs per game of any team in the National League. They also averaged fewer runs per game at home compared to on the road before Friday’s offensive explosion.
Nationals vs. Padres (-200). Greg’s Line: Nationals +161.
The Padres are giving Matt Waldron his first MLB start in place of Michael Wacha with Waldron posting a 7.02 ERA with a 1.65 WHIP for AAA El Paso. Nationals starter Josiah Gray has been at his best on the road, posting a 2.79 ERA with 0.8 home runs per nine innings allowed on the road compared to a 5.17 ERA with two home runs per nine innings allowed at home.
Red Sox (-115) vs. White Sox. Greg’s Line: Red Sox -134.
White Sox starter Lance Lynn has struggled all season, allowing 1.9 home runs per nine innings with a 6.51 ERA. He has allowed at least three runs in 11 of his last 12 starts. Lynn is backed up by a White Sox lineup with the league’s worst on-base percentage and the 26th-ranked bullpen ERA. Red Sox starter James Paxton has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his seven starts and is striking out 12 batters per nine innings.
