Today the MLB All Star Break continues with the Midsummer Classic at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. You can track the latest All Star Game odds and betting percentages using our VSiN Betting Splits, which come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10-minutes.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for the side and total in tonight’s All Star Game.
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8 p.m. ET: National League at American League (-120, 7.5)
In the 94th edition of the Midsummer Classic, the National League hands the ball to rookie righty phenom Paul Skenes (6-0, 1.90 ERA) and the American League counters with fellow righty Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.43 ERA). This line opened with the American League listed as a -115 home favorite and the National League a +105 road dog. Sharps have quietly laid the chalk with the American League, driving the AL All Stars up from -115 to -120. The American League is receiving 43% of moneyline bets and 46% of moneyline dollars, signaling a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in their favor. The American League holds a 47-44-1 edge all time in the All Star Game, but has been particularly dominant this millennium, going 9-1 over the last ten All Star Games. The National League won last year’s game 3-2 to snap a 9-game win streak by the AL. Since 1997, the American League is 21-4-1 in the Midsummer Classic.
In terms of the total, sharps seem to be banking on a lower score game once again. The line opened at 8 and immediately got bet down to 7.5. Now the 7.5 is juiced to the under at -120, signaling a possible fall down to 7. In other words, we’ve seen a steady flow of smart money hit the under from open to current. The under is receiving 49% of bets but 66% of dollars, a sharp contrarian bet split indicating an undecided public but also heavy sharp action on the under. The under is 4-0 in the last four All Star Games, with final scores of 3-2, 3-2, 5-2 and 4-3. The under is 14-1-2 over the past 17 All Star Games. A big reason for the remarkable under trend is the way the All Star Games are played. Typically, we see two new pitchers every inning, which means batters never get a chance to get acclimated to their opposing pitchers. This leads to an advantage for the pitchers. As the old saying goes, “good pitching beats good hitting.”
Here are the starting lineups for tonight
National League
- Ketel Marte 2B
- Shohei Ohtani DH
- Trea Turner SS
- Bryce Harper 1B
- William Contreras C
- Christian Yelich RF
- Alec Bohm 3B
- Teoscar Hernandez CF
- Jurickson Profar LF
American League
- Steven Kwan LF
- Gunnar Henderson SS
- Juan Soto RF
- Aaron Judge CF
- Yordan Alvarez DH
- Jose Ramirez 3B
- Vladimir Guerrero JR 1B
- Adley Rutschman C
- Marcus Semien 2B
