Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded 15-game MLB slate. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits, which come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10-minutes.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of Sunday games.
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1:40 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (-120, 7.5) at New York Mets
The Giants (27-26) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 8-7 as +120 road dogs and then winning again yesterday 7-2 in extra innings as +125 road dogs. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Giants tap righty Logan Webb (4-4, 3.03 ERA) and the Mets (21-30) send out lefty Sean Manaea (3-1, 3.11 ERA). This line opened with San Francisco listed as a -115 road favorite and New York a +105 home dog. We’ve seen the Giants creep up from -115 to -120, signaling pro money siding with San Francisco to post another victory and earn a series sweep. San Francisco is receiving roughly 60% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating modest Pro and Joe support in addition to a 5-cent steam move in their favor. Sweet spot short road favorites -130 or less are 81-61 (57%) with a 6% ROI this season. The Giants have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team who is expected to win. The Giants are 4-1 against the Mets this season. San Francisco is 8-2 over their last ten games, hitting .297 with a team ERA of 4.30. On the flip side, the Mets are just 2-8 over their last ten games, hitting .242 with a 5.72 team ERA. Webb pitched against the Mets in late April, going 8 innings and allowing zero earned runs in a 5-4 Giants win. He has a 2.25 ERA in the day compared to 3.38 at night. Manaea has a 3.48 ERA at home compared to 2.81 on the road. He has a 4.42 ERA in the day compared to 2.25 at night.
2:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (-165, 7) at Chicago White Sox
The Orioles (32-18) have won the first three games of this four-game series, winning the opener 8-6 as -240 road favorites, taking the second game 6-4 as -250 road favorites and then posting a 5-3 victory yesterday as -175 road favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Orioles start righty Kyle Bradish (0-0, 2.41 ERA) and the White Sox (15-38) go with lefty Garrett Crochet (5-4, 3.75 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -155 road favorite and Chicago a +140 home dog. Sharps are banking on the Orioles to complete the sweep, steaming Baltimore up from -155 to -165. The Orioles are receiving 90% of moneyline bets and 91% of moneyline dollars, indicating heavy public and wiseguy support in addition to a 10-cent steam move in their favor. Baltimore has the far better offense, hitting .243 with 75 homers and 248 runs scored compared to Chicago hitting .216 with 36 homers and 156 runs scored. The Orioles have cleaned up as a favorite against teams who missed the playoffs the previous season, going 66-28 (70%) with a 15% ROI since 2023. Baltimore has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team who is expected to win. The Orioles are 15-8 on the road. Chicago is 10-17 at home. Baltimore is hitting .278 against lefties this season, ranking 2nd-best in MLB.
4:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (-125, 8) at San Diego Padres
The Yankees (37-17) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning the opener 8-0 as -120 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 4-1 as +105 road dogs. In today’s series finale, the Yankees hand the ball to righty Clarke Schmidt (5-2, 2.59 ERA) and the Padres (27-28) counter with fellow righty Joe Musgrove (3-4, 6.14 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -115 road favorite and San Diego a +105 home dog. Sharps have pounced on the Bronx Bombers laying a short chalk price, steaming the Yankees up from -115 to -125. New York is receiving 84% of moneyline bets and 86% of moneyline dollars, signaling heavy one-way support from both Pros and Joes in addition to a 10-cent line move in their favor. The Yankees have the better offense, hitting 80 homers and scoring 264 runs compared to the Padres hitting 53 homers and scoring 243 runs. Sweet spot short road favorites -130 or less are 81-61 (57%) with a 6% ROI this season. The Yankees also have value as an Interleague favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who is expected to win. New York is 28-12 (70%) with an 18% ROI as a favorite this season, the 4th-best chalk team in MLB. The Yankees are 19-9 on the road. San Diego is 10-18 at home. Schmidt has a 1.82 ERA in four May starts (three of them wins), allowing only 5 earned runs over 24.2 innings pitched. He has a 1.47 ERA on the road compared to 3.96 at home.
