Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
If you’re looking for some plays for the Tuesday, March 28th NBA slate, we have you covered in every way possible. As always, we’ll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we’re tackling player props here, and we’re targeting Jakob Poeltl, Trae Young and Herbert Jones tonight. Keep reading to find out how we’re betting on each of them. Also, check out our Daily Prop Analyzer for more ideas on how you should play the prop market.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 28
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Tuesday, March 28 (odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook):
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (-3.5, 220)
It seems like Jakob Poeltl is a player we’ve been turning to a lot recently, but the market consistently undervalues him as a shot blocker. Before having no blocks against the Washington Wizards on Sunday, Poeltl had two blocks in each of his previous three games. Despite that, you can still get him at plus-money to have two blocks against the Heat on Tuesday.
This also happens to be a very good matchup for Poeltl, as Miami runs a lot of offense through center Bam Adebayo. That means that Poeltl will have a bunch of opportunities to go out and block some shots, even if it is against a player that is strong around the rim. Poeltl has the length and timing to disrupt him, and it’s hard not to play him to block two shots at these odds.
After all, Poeltl has had at least two blocks in nine of the 19 games he has played since being traded to the Raptors. And he is now averaging 1.5 blocks per game with Toronto.
Bet: Poeltl Over 1.5 Blocks (+150)
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks (PK, 237)
Cleveland’s defensive rating of 109.6 is the best in basketball this season, but that number goes up to 112.5 when the Cavaliers are playing on the road. With that said, Cleveland still plays defense at a top-10 level away from home, but the group is a little more beatable for opposing offenses. And the Cavaliers are weakest in the backcourt on that end of the floor, so we’re not ruling out a big game for Trae Young.
Young has scored at least 26 points in three of his last four games, and he’s coming off a 28-point performance against the Memphis Grizzlies. The hiring of Quin Snyder hasn’t taken Atlanta to another level just yet, but it has brought out the best in Young’s offense. Young has scored at least 28 points in eight of the 14 games in which Snyder has been on the sidelines. And all we need out of Young is 26 tonight.
We should also note that Young had 34 points the last time he faced the Cavaliers. That was back on February 24th, and it was yet another game in which the Hawks faced the Cavaliers at State Farm Arena. With this matchup shaping up to be very similar, how can we not jump on this over?
Bet: Young Over 25.5 Points (-135)
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors (-8.5, 235)
Herbert Jones has had at least two steals in four of the last eight games he has played. The lanky forward is now averaging 1.6 steals per game this season, and he averaged 1.7 steals per game as a rookie last year. This is just a guy that can always be counted on to cause a little chaos on the defensive end, and he now gets to face a Warriors team that is very loose with the basketball.
Golden State has the second-highest turnover rate in the league this year, and the Warriors are coughing the ball up 16.2 times per game. Opponents are also averaging 7.9 steals per game against Golden State, which is tied for the fourth-highest mark in the NBA.
With the Pelicans facing a mistake-prone opponent, it would just be irresponsible not to take the over on Jones’ steal total. He should make Golden State pay for throwing careless passes, and that’s exactly what happened the last time the two played. Jones had four steals against the Warriors on March 3rd, and he is now averaging 2.7 steals per game in three meetings with Golden State this season.
Bet: Jones Over 1.5 Steals (+105)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +792 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
