Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
If you’re looking for some plays for the NBA Playoffs action on Thursday, May 11th, we have you covered in every way possible. As always, we’ll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we’re tackling player props here, and we’re targeting Tobias Harris and Kevin Durant tonight. Keep reading to find out how we’re betting on them. Also, check out our NBA Playoffs Hub for all of our postseason NBA content.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on May 11
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Thursday, May 11:
Boston Celtics (-2.5, 212.5) at Philadelphia 76ers – Game 6
The Sixers have gotten some inconsistent play from Tobias Harris throughout this series, but we’re expecting the forward to show up in Game 6. Harris just needs to score 14 points in order to hit the over on his point total tonight, and it’s just hard to see him not doing that. Harris has gone over that number in three of the five games in this series, and it’s very reasonable to expect him to do it again.
Harris averaged 14.7 points per game during the regular season, and he’s up to 16.3 points per game in the postseason. Harris has also seen his minutes increase from 32.9 minutes per game in the regular season to 34.4 minutes per game in the postseason. And with Philadelphia looking to close out Boston in this game, Harris should play at least 35 minutes.
Harris didn’t show up in Games 3 and 4 of this series, but he had much better shooting splits at home than he did on the road during the regular season. With that said, it feels fluky that he hasn’t yet performed at a high level at the Wells Fargo Center in this series. On top of that, Harris had 16 points in Game 5 and that was the most Sixers-like game that Philadelphia has played in this series. The team got good play out of both Joel Embiid and James Harden for the first time this series, so the Sixers are finding their groove and that should allow Harris to play a comfortable role.
Bet: Harris Over 13.5 Points (-115)
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns (-3, 226) – Game 6
Kevin Durant is averaging 30.8 points per game for the Suns in this series, but it still feels like we haven’t seen his very best. And one area in which Durant has really struggled is shooting. The 34-year-old is shooting just 33.3% from the outside in the playoffs this year, and he’s hitting just 22.2% of his triples in this series against the Nuggets. Some of that can be chalked up to the Nuggets playing good defense, but most of it is just Durant not hitting shots that he normally hits.
With this series heading back to Phoenix, we like Durant’s chances of finding his stroke. It can be hard to hit shots in Denver, as the altitude makes for a different game. But Durant was 2 for 4 from deep in Game 4, and that’s a lot more like it for the future Hall of Famer. And the reality is that Durant is still firing away from deep, as he’s attempting 5.4 3s per game in this series. If he is letting it rip, Durant is going to be a good bet to hit at least two 3s. In fact, it wouldn’t be surprising if he hits three or four in this game. Phoenix’s season is on the line and Durant knows he needs to show up.
Bet: Durant Over 1.5 Made 3s (-160)
