We’re more than halfway into the 2024-25 NBA season. I’ll continue giving out NBA best bets and player props here as often as possible, and I’ll also occasionally write up features on big news that shakes up the league. So, make sure you check out my work throughout the season. With that out of the way, let’s get into some NBA best bets and NBA player props for Tuesday, February 11th. Also, make sure you check out the picks page (linked right below) before games tip off. I occasionally add picks throughout the day.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on February 11th
NBA Best Bets Today – February 11th
New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers – 7:30 pm ET
The Knicks are widely considered a top-tier team in the Eastern Conference, but I’m not sure much separates them from the Pacers. Since December 6th, Indiana is 20-8 and has Cleaning The Glass’ sixth-highest efficiency differential (+6.3) in basketball. In that same span, New York is 20-10 and eighth in the league (+5.4). That said, while the Knicks have a better record and standing in the conference, a lot of that can be blamed on an uncharacteristically sluggish start for the Pacers. A larger sample shows that these teams stand on somewhat equal footing, so I’m taking the plus-money odds with the home team.
The status of Myles Turner is definitely something to watch here. I’m taking Indiana and hoping to see the center in the lineup, as the Pacers can use his rim protection and floor spacing. However, it’s not crazy to think that Indiana can win without him. The reality is that this New York team is very unproven defensively, so the surgical precision of Indiana’s offense should prove to be problematic for the Knicks.
New York is going to be hoping that the bad Tyrese Haliburton shows up. In last year’s playoff series, we saw him struggle in a few of the games, but those were games played at Madison Square Garden. Oddly enough, Haliburton is one of the few stars in this league that really struggles away from home. But he’s averaging 19.9 points and 9.0 assists on 47.0% shooting from the floor and 40.3% shooting from 3 in Indiana. He loves playing in this building and should be able to hold his own against Jalen Brunson when it comes to offensive output at the point guard spot. That might not mean scoring as much as the Knicks superstar, but the plays Haliburton makes for his teammates should even things out.
I also just think that Indiana’s supporting cast will show up for this game. The Pacers have a roster filled with shot makers, so they’ll love the type of looks they’ll get against the Knicks.
Indiana is also coming off a disappointing road loss against the Los Angeles Lakers last game. Under Rick Carlisle, the team is 19-7 straight-up when coming off a loss as a road favorite. The Pacers also won 132-121 when these teams met in Indiana on November 10th, and the home team has won eight of the last nine meetings between these two.
Bet: Pacers ML (+122 – 1.5 units)
NBA Player Props Today – February 11th
Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns – 10:00 pm ET
Kevin Durant should be returning from a tweaked ankle tonight, and he probably needed a little reset anyway. Durant shot just 3 for 13 from 3 in back-to-back losses to the Blazers last week, and he then spent a couple of days hearing his name in trade talks. Now, Durant gets to go back to playing basketball, and there’s no more deadline to worry about.
There are a couple of different things to look at with this game, and you’ll see below that I do have a Suns alternate line thrown into a two-leg parlay. But I love Durant to go Over his 3-point total tonight. Before struggling against Portland, Durant had made at least four 3s in five consecutive games, and he has taken at least seven 3s in seven of his last nine. The Suns are asking Durant to shoot more triples, and he has been responding. I don’t see it changing tonight, especially with Durant likely to play some small-ball center minutes. When he’s at the five, the Suns will want him to hunt his jumper even more to open up some space for other guys to drive.
The Grizzlies also have some trouble defending the 3-point line. For as good as they are defensively, they’re giving up 13.9 made 3s per game. Only six teams in the league are allowing more. And Memphis has given up more made 3s per game (14.3) over the last 10 games.
Bet: Durant Over 2.5 Made 3s (-106)
Additional Plays
This is where I’ll include any late added plays, teasers/parlays or in-season futures. Come back before tip if you don’t want to miss anything. It’s always possible I’ll add something to my card.
PARLAY: 76ers ML vs. Raptors & Suns Alt Spread +10.5 vs. Grizzlies (-145 – 1.5 units) – The 76ers have turned in some questionable performances lately, but they’re going to have most of their guys in the lineup tonight. So, in a must-win home game against a bad Raptors team, they really should get in the win column. That’s especially true with Toronto being without RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl. However, I don’t trust Philadelphia to cover 9 or 9.5. So, I’m throwing in Phoenix on an alternate line of +10.5 to get reasonable odds. I actually like the Suns to cover — and potentially win — tonight’s home game against the Grizzlies. But I do have some scar tissue with this Phoenix team, so I need some extra wiggle room. But the Suns are 4-1 SU and 3-2 against the spread when playing with two days of rest under Mike Budenholzer, so it’s clear a little extra time is big for a team with some older players. The Suns are also 9-4 SU in home games with totals of 230 or higher this season. And overall, returning home after a disastrous two-game stint in Portland should bring out the best in Phoenix.
Suns +7.5 (-154 – 1.5 units) vs. Grizzlies
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2024-25 NBA Record: 240-234-2 (+3.37 units)
