NFL Week 5:

The biggest underdog of the week didn’t win outright in Week 4, putting an end to a fun three-week stretch to start the 2024 NFL season. However, we did see a pretty sizable upset, as the Denver Broncos went into MetLife Stadium and earned an ugly 10-9 win over the New York Jets. The Broncos were 8-point underdogs in the game, and they were as high as +360 on the moneyline. Also, ‘dogs of +5.5 or more continued to be a great bet.

Outside of that, the biggest story in Week 4 might have been the Cincinnati Bengals getting themselves in the win column. Joe Burrow and Co. are now 1-3 after having earned a 34-24 win over the Carolina Panthers. It’s also worth noting that the Minnesota Vikings are still undefeated, as they rolled into Lambeau Field and beat the Green Bay Packers — though it did get dicey at the end, with Kevin O’Connell’s team barely holding on in a 31-29 win.

 

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It’s now time to turn the page to Week 5, which will feature the first London game of the season. It’ll be Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets facing Minnesota at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. We’ll take a look at the odds for that game and all of the other Week 5 matchups below. The only games you won’t find are the ones that feature teams that played on Monday night in Week 4.

MORE: Head over to our Pro Picks page for all of the Week 5 bets from our VSiN hosts and analysts!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-2.5, 43)

Thursday, 8:20 pm ET (Amazon)

The Falcons beat the Saints 26-24 on a 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with two second remaining in Week 4. That helped set up this massive battle in the NFC South on Thursday night. With Tampa Bay coming off a lopsided win over Philadelphia, the team is now 3-1 and looking to keep its spot atop the division. For what it’s worth, the Buccaneers are 7-3 straight-up and 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 meetings between these two. They’re also 8-4 ATS as road underdogs under head coach Todd Bowles. But the fans in Mercedes-Benz Stadium are going to be fired up for this one, and Kirk Cousins should keep getting better as he gets further removed from his Achilles injury.

New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 41.5) – Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London

Sunday, 9:30 am ET (NFL Network)

The Jets really beat themselves in their loss to the Broncos in Week 4. New York committed an insane amount of penalties and the pass catchers dropped a lot of good balls from Aaron Rodgers. The Jets will now need to clean things up pretty quickly, as they’re facing a 4-0 Vikings team that is clicking on both sides of the ball. Minnesota has a top-five defense in the league and Sam Darnold is looking like a completely different person. Revenge will surely be on his mind when he takes on the team that drafted him — and arguably failed him. However, the main matchup to watch here is Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores going to work against Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and a suddenly questionable offensive line. New York should be the hungrier team, but Minnesota’s probably going to be more prepared. Kevin O’Connell and Brian Flores know how to exploit weaknesses, and the Jets might have a lot of them.

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (-4, 44)

Sunday, 1:00 pm ET (FOX)

The Bears offense hasn’t looked great this season, but Matt Eberflus’ defense is tremendous and the team was able to pick up a big victory over the Rams in Week 4. Chicago now has a great opportunity to move to 3-2, as the team will host a 1-3 Carolina squad. This game might feel like it’s lacking in intrigue, but it is important to remember that the Bears received a king’s ransom from the Panthers in the trade for Bryce Young. That ultimately ended with Chicago drafting Caleb Williams and Carolina benching Young for Andy Dalton. However, the Panthers are playing some more inspired football with the Red Rifle under center. And this game opened with the Bears laying 4.5 and has since moved to 4 and 3.5 in most shops. So, it appears people like Carolina’s chances.

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, 49) at Cincinnati Bengals

1:00 pm ET (CBS)

The Ravens were originally supposed to be laying 1 in this game, but the line is up to 2.5 after Baltimore’s Sunday night beatdown of Buffalo. This Ravens offense has now looked unstoppable two weeks in a row, averaging 31.5 points per game in two wins. Baltimore will now feel good about its chances against a Cincinnati team that has been vulnerable defensively this year. And even though the Bengals got their first win of the year in Week 4, the team didn’t look all that impressive in beating the Panthers. Baltimore is also 81-55 ATS on the road under John Harbaugh, and the team is also 66-43 ATS in games with lines of +3 to -3 under him. The Ravens are also 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS versus the Bengals since the start of 2020. So, Baltimore has enjoyed this matchup quite a bit, and it just feels like this Ravens team is rolling right now.

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders (-3.5, 43.5)

1:00 pm ET (FOX)

The Browns are coming off a rough road loss to the Raiders. Cleveland lost the game by four points, but the team might have been able to force overtime if not for a missed extra point from Dustin Hopkins. The Browns got into field goal range late in the game, but they needed to play for a touchdown and ultimately came up short. Cleveland is now 1-3 and has lost to New York and Las Vegas in the last two weeks. The Raiders were extremely shorthanded too. Meanwhile, the Commanders are on a three-game win streak and have earned victories over the Bengals and Cardinals over the last two week. So, these teams are seemingly moving in opposite directions, but that doesn’t mean this will be an easy game for Washington. The Browns will still feel like they have an edge in talent, and veteran defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz will have something planned for rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 45.5)

1:00 pm ET (CBS)

This is going to be an interesting AFC South matchup. Indianapolis looked miserable in Weeks 1 and 2, but the team has responded with two impressive wins. The Colts are now thinking about winning the division, as they sit one game behind the Texans. On the other end, the Jaguars are searching for their first win of the season. Jacksonville really should have two wins at this point, but the team shrunk in big moments against Miami and Houston. Doug Pederson’s seat is now scorching hot entering this divisional showdown. But the Jaguars should feel good about the fact that they are 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS versus the Colts since the start of the 2020 season. And if these Jacksonville players care about their coach at all, they’ll be amped up and ready to fight for him. The Jaguars also opened as 2.5-point favorites, but they’re out to 3 in some spots. There are Jacksonville believers out there.

Buffalo Bills (-1, 47) at Houston Texans

1:00 pm ET (CBS)

The Bills got absolutely romped in a Sunday night meeting with the Ravens, but Baltimore had a one-day rest advantage and night games at M&T Bank Stadium are always tricky. It’d be wise not to completely overreact to that loss. Buffalo was near the top of the league in both EPA per play and EPA per play allowed heading into Week 4, and Houston was pretty disappointing. The Texans also didn’t look great in a close win over a pretty weak Jaguars team. That said, it’s a little surprising to see that Buffalo is such a short favorite here. However, the Texans are 9-3 SU in home games under DeMeco Ryans, and this is a loaded team on both sides of the ball. Nothing would be surprising in this one.

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (-1.5, 37)

4:05 pm ET (FOX)

Bo Nix completed just 12 of his 25 passing attempts for 60 yards against the Jets in Week 4, but Denver was somehow able to escape with a victory. The rookie actually did throw his first touchdown pass of the season, so that was a good sign for Sean Payton’s squad. But it is wild that the Broncos are 2-2 and favored to move to 3-2, even with Nix having thrown for just 660 yards with a touchdown and four picks this season. But the reality is that Denver’s defense has really taken things to another level. This was one of the worst units in football in 2023, but Vance Joseph is pushing the right buttons this year. Keep an eye on the Las Vegas injury report if you’re betting this game. The Raiders were without Davante Adams and Maxx Crosby in Week 4.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 49)

4:05 pm ET (FOX)

In Week 2, the Cardinals whooped the Rams and Kyler Murray played the best game of his career. Two weeks later, Arizona is sitting at 1-3 and coming off back-to-back home losses. The Cardinals are going to need to figure things out in a hurry. A meeting with the 49ers isn’t exactly the medicine a struggling team needs. San Francisco is 5-3 both SU and ATS against Arizona since the start of the 2020 season, and the 49ers won their two games against the Cardinals by a total of 35 points last season. San Francisco also happens to be getting healthier and healthier. The only major absence right now is Christian McCaffrey, but Jordan Mason has rushed for at least 100 yards in three of San Francisco’s four games this season. It feels like San Francisco is ready to start rolling now.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 46.5) at Los Angeles Rams

4:25 pm ET (CBS)

The Rams are coming off a lopsided loss to a Bears team that has been miserable offensively this year, so things don’t look great in Los Angeles. Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford have defied the odds before, and you only have to go back two weeks for an example. The Rams came from behind to beat the 49ers 27-24 and earn their first win of the season. But this is going to be a whole other challenge. Green Bay will be hungry for a win after having lost to Minnesota last week, and Jordan Love will be another week removed from his knee injury. Love took some time to warm up against the Vikings, and his team fell down 28-0 in that one. But Green Bay looked a heck of a lot better as the game progressed, and the team ended up losing by only two points. The Packers will be hoping to carry that second-half momentum into this one.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2, 41.5)

8:20 pm ET (NBC/Peacock)

The Cowboys will have a rest advantage heading into this game, as they beat the Giants in last week’s Thursday Night Football matchup. Dallas will also have the edge at the most important position on the field, as Dak Prescott is far more trustworthy than Justin Fields. However, it’s hard to come up with reasons to like the Cowboys outside of those. This Dallas rushing defense might have held up against New York last week, but it has been shockingly easy to run on this Cowboys defensive line this season. That should help the Pittsburgh offense quite a bit. This Steelers defense is also one of the best units in the league, and T.J. Watt’s ability to get after the quarterback could terrorize a beatable Cowboys offensive line. On top of that, Dallas is just 6-12 SU and 7-11 ATS as a road underdog under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 72-53 SU and 69-50 in games with a line of +3 to -3 under Mike Tomlin. The Steelers are also 6-4 both SU and ATS as home favorites over the last two seasons.

New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5, 43)

Monday at 8:25 pm ET (ESPN)

The Chiefs were able to move to 4-0 with a road win over the Chargers last week, but they lost wide receiver Rashee Rice in that one. It sounds like the young star tore his ACL, so that will be a massive loss for this Kansas City offense. But the Chiefs are still laying 5.5 in this meeting with a Saints team that is coming off back-to-back losses. It’ll be interesting to see how New Orleans responds to the adversity. The Saints looked like the best team in the NFL through two weeks, as they were dominant on both sides of the ball. But they’re suddenly looking a little more like last year’s team. The good news for New Orleans is that the defense has still looked strong, and the team is getting Kansas City at the right time. The Saints are also 7-4 ATS as road underdogs under Dennis Allen.

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