NFL Week 7:

The NFL season is chugging along at what feels like a rapid pace, as we’ve got Week 7 action coming up. Only two teams are on byes this week, so that means we have 15 games to think about and analyze before putting our hard-earned money down on some bets.

For the first time since Week 1, we do not have a divisional matchup on Thursday, as the Broncos and Saints get things underway and a Monday Night Football doubleheader with Ravens vs. Buccaneers and Chargers vs. Cardinals will send us into Week 8. Let’s look at the markets and see what they’re showing for Week 7.

 

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Here is the Week 7 NFL Odds Report:

Denver Broncos (-1, 37.5) at New Orleans Saints

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon)

Books were split on this game as of Sunday night, with +1 or -1 both ways and several at pick ‘em. The Broncos have the tough short week with travel and a rookie QB, but the Saints will have a rookie QB of their own. This will be Bo Nix vs. Spencer Rattler, as Derek Carr will miss a few weeks with his injuries. This game will be in a fight with Jets/Steelers for the lowest total of the week and it’ll be interesting to see which way bettors swing the number in a game where neither team looks very attractive.

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.5, 42.5) (London)

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network)

London may feel like home for the Jaguars, but they can’t seem to win anywhere right now. The Bears hammered Jacksonville last week, prompting head coach Doug Pederson to potentially start shoveling dirt on his own grave by saying that the team needed a culture change. Safety Andre Cisco called out the team for quitting.

And, yet, who wants to back Drake Maye and Jerod Mayo going across the pond to play at Wembley Stadium? As bad as it was for the Jaguars against the Bears, this line is actually higher than it was in the lookahead markets after Maye and the Patriots lost 41-21 to the Texans.

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 49)

1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The Seahawks are coming off of the half-bye here after playing on Thursday, so maybe the long trek and the early kick won’t be all that impactful. On the other hand, Geno Smith looked awful against the 49ers last week and the Falcons offense just kept chugging right along. Most of the 2.5s on this game got scooped up or had extra vig added to them. It seems like 3 should be the prevailing number as everybody updates their models and metrics to dig into all these games on Monday.

Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers (-3, 47)

1 p.m. ET (FOX)

Two teams that looked extremely impressive in Week 6 meet up in Week 7. The Packers comfortably won and covered against the Cardinals and the Texans had that aforementioned blowout over New England. Green Bay’s performance got more credit in the betting markets, as this line inched up on Sunday evening and was reposted at 2.5 or 3. It is worth noting that the lookahead line was bet up from 1.5 to 2.5 last week, so the books got a good indicator of the sentiment heading into this one.

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (-4, 42)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Dolphins were one of four teams on a bye last week. Tua Tagovailoa still isn’t eligible to be activated for a couple of weeks, but Miami was able to use the rest and recovery to get Tyler Huntley deeper into the playbook. On the Indy side, questions will linger all week as to whether or not it will be Joe Flacco or Anthony Richardson that gets the call. If he’s healthy, Richardson should, given what the team has invested in him, but the Colts, much like the Browns last season, sure seem to look better with Flacco at the helm. If it looks like Richardson is on track to play, I feel like this number will inch down.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-2, 50.5)

1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The premier game of the week is a 1 p.m. kickoff in the NFC North. The Lions destroyed the Cowboys 47-9, but did lose Aidan Hutchinson in the process. The Vikings did not play, as they took a 5-0 record into the bye week. Minnesota is one of two teams that has scored first in every game, but the Lions sure do seem to have the offense going in the right direction. Fascinating game. Home-field advantage isn’t what it once was in the NFL, but it is bigger than one point, so this line states that Detroit would be favored or pick ’em on a neutral. I guess we’ll see what bettors think about that.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams (-5.5, 44)

4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

Matthew Stafford spent his bye week testing out his post-playing career, as he served as an analyst on Fox’s NFL Pregame Show. He was actually met with pretty rave reviews on social media, which is rare because nobody ever agrees on anything there. His Rams are just 1-4 and have dealt with injuries to Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, but the Raiders continue to be a mess. They were soundly beaten by the Steelers and Aidan O’Connell looked awful taking over for Gardner Minshew. I guess we’ll have to see if the Raiders roll with O’Connell, who is said to be the preferred choice of Davante Adams. But, this line has jumped significantly from the lookahead opener of -3.

Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders (-8, 50.5)

4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)

The Commanders played well, but not well enough in their stiff test against the Ravens. Now they drop down in class in a big way against the Panthers, who have had some more offensive success with Andy Dalton, but continue to be a burning dumpster full of tires on defense. Given the matchup on the horizon with Jayden Daniels, it sure seems like this line has a chance to at least stay where it is, if not go up.

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers (-1, 46.5)

4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

I just want to reiterate that I said what I said about Lions/Vikings being the game of the week. The Chiefs and 49ers do meet in a Super Bowl LVIII rematch here and a lot will be made of that game, but the 49ers haven’t looked buttoned up most weeks and don’t have Christian McCaffrey. Also, the Chiefs, while 5-0, could very easily have lost a few games this season. They are 5-0 with a +33 point differential. There are five teams with a higher point differential that have lost a game and San Francisco at 3-3 has a +32 point differential. Guess we’ll see which way the wind blows on this game, as some shops as of Sunday night had the 49ers favored.

Baltimore Ravens (-4, 50) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

The Buccaneers gave up 27 points in the second quarter against the Saints. They still won by 24. It was a 51-27 victory for Tampa Bay, as the Bucs kept right on rolling offensively. The Ravens just faced a really good offense in the Commanders and held them to 23 points and 5.4 yards per play. Baltimore had 7.4 yards per play. The scoreboard says that it was a close game. The box score says that it was not. This line opened right where it was lined last week, but this is another example of the massive amounts of respect that the Ravens have from the books.

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5, 43) at Arizona Cardinals

9 p.m. ET (ESPN+)

The Chargers took it to the Broncos and looked great coming off the bye. Meanwhile, the Cardinals went to Green Bay and got pumped. Arizona has had a couple of outlier performances surrounded by a lot of bad football this season. They could also be without Marvin Harrison Jr., who was in concussion protocol during Sunday’s game. This line swung from being a coin flip to Chargers -2.5 and I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if we see -3 early in the week.

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