NFL Week 8:

Week 8 of the NFL season has arrived. Maybe we’ll call it parity and maybe we can call it something else, but every team but one in the AFC has lost two games already and 13 of the 16 teams have won at least a couple of games. Over in the NFC, everybody has lost at least a game, as the Chiefs are the lone undefeated team, but 14 of the 16 teams have two or more losses.

It is hard to win in the NFL, especially when we had a lot of underdogs pulling off upsets early. Recently, though, favorites have gotten back on track. Will we see more of the same in Week 8?

 

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Time will tell, but one thing we should start doing is following the weather a little closer. We’re at the point in the year when precipitation chances increase and the cool breezes can get a little more gusty. Keep that in mind as we get deeper into the fall.

Let’s look at what the early lines look like for Week 8.

Here is the Week 8 NFL Odds Report:

Minnesota Vikings (-3, 46.5) at Los Angeles Rams

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon)

It is not an ideal spot for the Vikings this week. They come off of a huge game against the Lions to make a long trek out to LA on a short week. Cooper Kupp is also set to return for the Rams after coming close to being active in Week 7. Obviously Kupp has a huge impact on the offense and is near the top of the list for non-quarterbacks when it comes to point spread adjustments. I’ll be curious to see where this line goes because the situations are quite bad for Minnesota, but the Rams might just be a very bad team.

Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions (-11.5, 45.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The Titans looked like a real football team for a quarter or so with Mason Rudolph, but things turned quickly and Tennessee got blown out by Buffalo. With the Lions riding high from a late win over the Vikings, we get the biggest point spread of the year to date. In fact, we come into this week with two double-digit favorites to this point. Depending on the closing numbers, we may have three double-digit favorites this week alone. I don’t see this line going down much, if at all.

Baltimore Ravens (-10, 42.5) at Cleveland Browns

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

This is another one of the double-digit candidates, as the Browns begin life without Deshaun Watson. This one would’ve been close anyway, but Watson tore his Achilles and his 2024 season is over. His Browns tenure may be over. His NFL career may be over. Guess we’ll see. Guess we’ll also see if Cleveland goes with Jameis Winston in what is a lost season or if they’ll run Dorian Thompson-Robinson out there again. We could see this one land 9 or 9.5 when all is said and done because the Browns still have a solid defense, but I can’t imagine they’ll be a popular pick.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5, 49) at Jacksonville Jaguars

1 p.m. (FOX)

The Jaguars are back in the States after playing back-to-back games in London. They went 1-1 and actually looked like a real football team for the majority of the game against the Patriots, which was not the case against the Bears or in the previous weeks. They’re still a home underdog here and actually a slightly bigger one than they were on the lookahead line after the Packers knocked off the Texans. Green Bay does seem to be back on track with Jordan Love further and further removed from the knee injury and I’m not going to be surprised to see 5 or 5.5 on this one as the week progresses.

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-6, 46.5)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

First place is on the line in the AFC South, but you can clearly see the difference between these two teams with where this line is sitting. The Texans are comfortably favored here and favored by even a little more than where this line was last week. Even though Houston lost and Indianapolis won, the Colts had all sorts of problems with the Dolphins, while the Texans lost to a very well-respected Packers team. That said, 6.5, which is the high mark in the market, is as far as I’d expect this line to go.

Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 46.5)

1 p.m. (CBS)

This is a line worthy of watching. The Bengals still have some problems, but they can get to .500 in this one. The defense has played well two weeks in a row, though the Eagles are clearly better than the Browns and Giants. That being said, Cincinnati has been great on offense throughout the season and the Eagles have been unimpressive at best. Philadelphia still hasn’t scored a first quarter point this season. Circa had a quick Sunday night move from -2 to -2.5, but a move to -3 wasn’t required just yet. I think it could be.

Buffalo Bills (-3, 48.5) at Seattle Seahawks

4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)

The first-place Seahawks take on the first-place Bills, as Buffalo takes the long trip to the PNW. This will be the fourth road game in five weeks for Buffalo after going to Baltimore, Houston, and New Jersey in consecutive weeks leading up to the beatdown of the Titans in Week 7. Could this be a bit of a tough spot for Buffalo as a result? We saw Buffalo get a nice bump in the market against the Titans following the Amari Cooper acquisition. This line is right where it was on the lookahead. I feel like we see 3.5 as everybody updates their models overnight and in the  morning.

Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders (PK, 46)

4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

Sportsbooks were all over the map on Sunday night after Jayden Daniels left the Commanders win over the Panthers with a rib injury. Washington was favored coming into the weekend, but both DraftKings and FanDuel had the Bears favored in light of Daniels’ status. Once we get some more clarity, we’ll see this line settle in where it should be. For now, the big game of the week is a little bit cloudy.

Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 42) at Las Vegas Raiders

4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

The lone unbeaten is laying doubles at most shops against the Raiders this week. The Chiefs are off to a 6-0 start and played their best game of the season against the 49ers. They were 5-0, but it wasn’t an impressive 5-0, as they flirted with disaster in more than one of those victories. The game against San Francisco felt like vintage Kansas City. Meanwhile, the Raiders got no bounce from shedding the distraction of Davante Adams and lost to the Rams, though they did cover. Gardner Minshew gets the start with Aidan O’Connell hurt. Otherwise, this could’ve been a higher line.

Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos (-7.5, 42.5)

4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Panthers hit a new low in Week 7. Marcus Mariota carved them up after Jayden Daniels left the game and now they go to Denver to play a Broncos team on extra rest with the “half-bye” after playing on Thursday. The lookahead line here was 4.5. In light of the two results, this line reopened Sunday at 7.5. It still may not be high enough.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5, 48.5)

8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

The Cowboys badly needed the bye week to do some soul searching and take off a little bit of heat. They are 3-0 this season on the road and 0-3 at home, getting outscored by 66 points at Jerry World. Beating the 49ers would cure a lot of ills, but they’re getting a hefty number of points, even though they’re on extra rest and the 49ers just got handled by the Chiefs in the Super Bowl LVIII rematch. DraftKings had this line as high as 7 last week, so the market very much took notice of SF’s performance in Week 7.

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