Vikings vs. Rams – Thursday Night Football Player Prop Best Bets:

Here are three Week 8 prop plays I like on DraftKings for Thursday Night Football. 

 

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Jordan Addison Over 44.5 Receiving Yards -115

I was on this Wednesday when it was 39.5 yards, but it’s been bet up considerably. In this case, I think people are right to bet it up. Excluding a tough showing often against Sauce Gardner and the stingy Jets defense two weeks ago, Addison has been extremely efficient with 9/173/1 on 12 targets, which is a 75% catch rate and 19.2 YPR. The Rams have been a perimeter funnel, allowing the second-fewest schedule-adjusted FPG to opposing slots (-5.4) but the 11th-most to opposing wideouts (+1.5). They’ve also allowed the fifth-most receiving YPG on deep passes (54.0), which is Addison’s deal. Finally, the Rams run the fifth-highest rate of Cover 3 (39.3%), and Addison is averaging a strong 2.61 YPRR and .25 TPRR on 28 routes against the coverage, per Fantasy Points Data. Addison may not get a ton of targets, but he should make at least one bigger play, so if he can haul in three passes, I think he clears this. 

Thursday Night Football Best Bets: Jordan Addison Over 44.5 Receiving Yards -115

Tutu Atwell Over 37.5 Receiving Yards -115

Atwell has been the most consistent Rams receiver this year, posting 48+ yards in five straight games. Rookie Jordan Whittington is out, and while Cooper Kupp may eat with a good matchup, Vikings slot corner Byron Murphy did have his number when he was with the Cardinals, so I think Atwell will go for 48+ yards in six straight here, as the Vikings are allowing the second-most receiving YPG (120.3) and the third-most schedule-adjusted FPG to opposing WRs (+8.6). The Vikes are also facing a league-high 42.5 pass attempts per game, and I think Matthew Stafford will have to put the ball up 40+ times. 

Thursday Night Football Best Bets: Tutu Atwell Over 37.5 Receiving Yards -115

Kyren Williams Under 73.5 Rushing Yards -115

This does not look like a game for Kyren to get volume, especially coming in on a short week, which could get rookie Blake Corum more involved. It’s a tougher matchup, as the Vikes are seeing only 16.5 rushing attempts from RBs per game the last four weeks, and they are facing a league-high 42.5 pass attempts per game, so this is a throw-ball game for LA. Per Fantasy Points Data, 66.4% of Williams’ rush attempts have come on man/gap concepts (3rd-most), and the Vikings allow the fewest YPC (2.57) and the second-lowest success rate (35.1%) to man/gap, making this a bad schematic matchup. 

Thursday Night Football Best Bets: Kyren Williams Under 73.5 Rushing Yards -115

For more NFL Week 8 analysis and best bets, visit the NFL Week 8 Hub exclusively on VSiN. 

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