Outright winner of Euro 2024
The UEFA Euro 2024 takes place from June 14 to July 14 and will be played in the host country of Germany. Here are the Euro 2024 odds to win from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Odds to Win Euro 2024
- France +350
- England +350
- Germany +550
- Portugal +700
- Spain +800
- Italy +1600
- Belgium +1600
- Netherlands +1600
- Denmark +3500
- Croatia +4000
- Austria +6500
- Switzerland +6500
- Ukraine +8000
- Serbia +8000
- Scotland +8000
- Turkey +8000
- Hungary +8000
- Poland +10000
- Czech Republic +15000
- Romania +20000
- Albania +25000
- Slovenia +25000
- Georgia +50000
- Slovakia +50000
Now, here are some teams that I like and their odds:
Germany
This is traditionally a very tough competition to work out. One that is packed full of quality, highlighted by the fact that there have been eight different nations winning it over the last nine times it has been held.
However, this time around I feel there is a little bit of a gulf between the top five and the rest of the field. I am going to put forward my main two selections from that top five as well as a couple of “dark horses” who I think can go well at massive prices.
Before I talk about my actual picks, let me mention my nation, the favorites to lift the trophy on July 14th, England. They offer no value at the price, and I can’t and won’t be betting on them, but boy, how I would dearly love to see them win it.
The Three Lions have at least three world-class players in their squad, Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden and Harry Kane have all had stellar seasons and would feature in any other nation’s starting eleven. They are usually one of the most well-bet sides in any tournament, and that will be the case here again, making them much lower odds than they should be. This will be my sixth tournament following them, and there is usually quiet optimism. This time there is expectation, anything other than a place in the final would be seen as failure. The route to Berlin is tough so much so I would make Gareth Southgate’s side around +450 to win each game from the quarterfinal, so to see them at +350 to win outright is simply unbackable.
On to my picks. First up, it is Germany at +550. The hosts have been pitched in what looks like a fairly easy group, and in what can be a nervous opening game, they play Scotland, who I think they will beat comfortably.
That will set the tone for the tournament and get the home fans right behind their team, something that will only inspire the exceptional young talent in the squad like Bayern Munich’s Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz of double winners Bayer Leverkusen.
German clubs were superb in European competition this season—Leverkusen losing their only game of the campaign in the Europa League final to Atalanta, and Dortmund left to rue missed opportunities in their Champions League final defeat to Real Madrid.
Those experiences will stand this group of players in good stead for taking to the international stage. In Julian Nagelsmann they have a top-quality attack-minded coach to knit it all together and get the best out of a squad that has goals running right through it.
My main two reasons for the selection though is that their half of the draw is by far the easier one. Most importantly, they have home-soil advantage.
Since 1964, whenever one of the big nations has hosted (I am discounting Austria/Switzerland in 2008 and Ukraine/Poland in 2012), they always go deep into the tournament. Of those 10 Euros, three hosts have won it, three were losing finalists, with the remaining four getting knocked out at the semi-final stage.
That is an incredible record and one I see continuing here in 2024. The Germans will put on a great tournament and will be backed incredibly by their supporters. We cannot overstate the importance of home advantage.
Pick: Germany to win Euro 2024 at +550.
Portugal
Much of the talk around Portugal is if their legendary captain Cristiano Ronaldo will start, and I’m not so sure he will. I was at the game in Qatar when then-manager Fernando Santos dropped him to the bench. His replacement Gonçalo Ramos fired in a sensational hat-trick in a 6-1 rout of Switzerland, and I left the Lusail Stadium thinking they could go on to win the World Cup.
The remainder of the squad for Germany looks fantastic with only six of the 26 playing their soccer in Portugal. They have representatives from four of Europe’s top five leagues and have exceptional talent all over the pitch.
They were the most impressive side in qualifying winning all 10 of their fixtures, showcasing they have goals throughout the team by scoring the most of any nation with 36. On top of that they had the meanest defence conceding just two goals on their way to keeping an incredible nine clean sheets. A real recipe for success.
Although I have my doubts about manager Roberto Martinez, he at least has solid tournament experience, leading Belgium to the third place at the 2018 World Cup and reaching the quarter finals with them in Euro 2020.
Using FIFA world rankings, the Portuguese are in the weakest of all six groups and will play a nation who finished third in their group in the Round of 16. Following that, in the quarterfinal, it would be the winner of two teams who finished as runners up, meaning they should avoid a high-ranked opponent until the semi-final.
Portugal are in the same half of the draw as Germany, and I can’t state strongly enough how I want to oppose the other half. I have plotted a Germany vs. Portugal semifinal and, therefore, will be guaranteed to still be holding a ticket for the big one on July 14th.
Pick: Portugal to win Euro 2024 at +700.
Ukraine
The first of my two dark horses for the tournament is Ukraine. I mentioned earlier how important home advantage is and having the crowd behind you. Well, the Ukranians will be everyone’s “second favorite team.” They are also the only nation who over the last couple of years have had to get used to playing every game away from home or on neutral territory which is an interesting advantage.
It is all well and good having the support in the stands, but you need to back that up with quality on the pitch, and they can certainly do that. Goalkeeper Andriy Lunin excelled in helping Real Madrid to La Liga glory and the Champions League final before being dropped for the returning Thibaut Courtois.
Up front, they have Artem Dovbyk, a man who outscored every other player in La Liga. He will cause teams problems alongside his Girona teammate Viktor Tsyhankov and the enigmatic Mykhailo Mudryk of Chelsea.
Although Serhiy Rebrov’s men needed the play-offs to book their ticket to Germany, they finished level on points with Italy in a tough qualification group which was won by England. As we saw with their countryman Oleksandr Usyk handing Tyson Fury the first defeat of his professional career a fierce underdog determination and peak motivation can take you to new heights.
Ukraine got to the Quarterfinals of Euro 2020 and are arguably a better side than they were then. I expect them to finish behind Belgium in Group E and would then take on the runners-up of Group D—get through that and who knows.
Pick: Ukraine to win Euro 2024 at +8000.
Hungary
Marco Rossi saw his side suffer a shock first defeat since September 2022 earlier this month. Maybe that 2-1 defeat to Republic of Ireland will serve as a wakeup call ahead of this tournament. The early signs are good, as just four days later, Hungary bounced back to beat Israel 3-0.
This will be their third successive appearance at the European Championships. In 2016, they topped their group ahead of eventual winners Portugal, while last time out, they were drawn in the “Group of Death” alongside heavyweights France and Germany who they drew with, only losing to old foes the Portuguese.
Hungary will face Germany once more as they were drawn into Group A, but that should hold no fear after sharing a Nations League group in 2022—the “Magyars” drew the home tie but shocked the Germans with a 1-0 win in Leipzig.
England were also on the receiving end as they suffered defeats both away and embarrassingly by a 4-0 scoreline at home. Only Italy stopped Rossi’s side from topping the group and advancing to the semi-finals of that competition.
Liverpool’s Dominik Szoboszlai provides the X-Factor, but the Hungarians are by no means a one-man team with a sprinkling of players from the EPL and Bundesliga throughout the squad. Barnabas Varga joint top-scored in qualifying alongside his captain with four goals, also bagging a brace in that victory over Israel to take his tally for his nation to six in 11 appearances.
The 29-year-old could be one to watch in Germany as he scored 29 goals in 40 appearances for his club side this season including nine in 11 Europa Conference League outings. In the same mold as his nation, he could fly under the radar and ruffle a few unsuspecting feathers.
With these huge outsiders, there are plenty of other options other than an outright win. From qualifying out of their group to making it to a certain stage in the tournament. They are simply sides I think can give us a run for our money against the favorites and provide lots of flexibility to bet according to your aversion to risk.
Pick: Hungary to win Euro 2024 at +8000.
As always, shop around for the best Euro 2024 odds because there will be price differences from sportsbook to sportsbook.
