Wimbledon betting odds and players to watch
The French Open is officially in the rearview mirror, with Carlos Alcaraz defeating Alexander Zverev in the men’s final and Iga Swiatek beating up on Jasmine Paolini in the women’s final. Now, we’ll be setting our sights on Wimbledon, which is the most prestigious tennis tournament in the world — and the oldest. On the men’s side, not only will Alcaraz be going for his second major in a row, but he’ll also be looking to win back-to-back Wimbledons. He dethroned Novak Djokovic in a tight five-set match last year. On the women’s side, Marketa Vondrousova is the defending champion, as she beat Ons Jabeur in last year’s final.
The action at the All England Club in London, England might be a few weeks away, but the grass-court season is over in a blur. With that in mind, I wanted to do an early dive into some of the favorites, while also highlighting some other players that can do more damage than normal in these faster conditions.
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Wimbledon Odds – Men
(All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
Carlos Alcaraz (+140)
Jannik Sinner (+175)
Novak Djokovic (+225)
Alexander Zverev (10-1)
Daniil Medvedev (16-1)
Taylor Fritz (28-1)
Hubert Hurkacz (28-1)
Grigor Dimitrov (28-1)
Holger Rune (30-1)
Stefanos Tsitsipas (35-1)
For the rest of the Wimbledon odds, make sure you click here.
Wimbledon Favorites – Men
Carlos Alcaraz (+140)
Jannik Sinner (+175)
Novak Djokovic (+225)
Alcaraz didn’t need much time to turn himself into a threat on grass. The Spaniard, who is fresh off winning his third Grand Slam title, had played only six matches on grass before heading to Queen’s Club last year. Well, Alcaraz went on to win that tournament, beating Jiri Lehecka, Grigor Dimitrov, Sebastian Korda and Alex De Minaur along the way. He looked like a natural after getting a few wins under his belt, and he then went on an absurd run at Wimbledon. Alcaraz’s Wimbledon run included wins over Nicolas Jarry, Matteo Berrettini, Holger Rune, Daniil Medvedev and Djokovic. By the time he got to the final, I was all over Alcaraz to beat the 24-time Grand Slam champion. Alcaraz is undoubtedly at his best on slower courts, but there’s also something to be said for him having tremendous all-court power and a great serve-and-volley game. That, along with the ability to play better defense than most in quick conditions, made him a force in London. And it’s hard to rule out the possibility of him winning again. However, these odds definitely make it hard to bet on him.
Sinner lost to Alcaraz in five sets at the French Open, but he’d be in better shape against the Spaniard on a grass court. The new world No. 1 has more power than anybody on the planet, and his ability to serve and obliterate balls from the baseline should result in multiple Wimbledon titles by the time he’s retired. The 22-year-old has already played good tennis in London in his career, but he was eliminated by Djokovic in 2022 and 2023. In 2022, he blew a two-set lead against the Serbian. Last year’s loss was a competitive three-set match. But Sinner is capable of beating anybody else in these conditions, and he’d also like his chances against this recent version of Djokovic. The important thing for Sinner is to get his body right. He was dealing with a hip injury before the French Open, but he was able to play through it — and did so at a high level. Sinner then dealt with some cramping against Alcaraz, and that was a real problem. His play tailed off after a fantastic first set.
I’d be genuinely shocked if Djokovic is out there for Wimbledon. The 24-time Grand Slam champion and seven-time Wimbledon champion had surgery to repair a meniscus tear after winning his fourth-round match against Francisco Cerundolo at Roland Garros. The recovery for that surgery generally calls for a little over a month, so Djokovic would really be pushing it by returning here. Also, while Djokovic has been the king of Wimbledon throughout his career, he has never won Olympic gold. With that in mind, he might skip this to focus on his body and try to make a run in Paris later in the month.
Wimbledon Players To Watch – Men
Hubert Hurkacz (28-1)
Hurkacz is another player that fell victim to Djokovic last year. The Serbian earned a 7-6, 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 win over the Pole in the Round of 16, but that was a match that easily could have gone either way. And Hurkacz hadn’t lost a set before facing Djokovic on Center Court. Realistically, Hurkacz leaves a lot to be desired when it comes to his baseline game. But grass-court tennis makes it easy on big servers to win matches. Well, Hurkacz probably has the biggest serve in the world. With that in mind, there’s a good chance that Hurkacz will do some damage at this event, especially considering he’s playing some of the best tennis of his career in 2024. He’s 29-12 on the season, which is good for a career-high 70.7% winning percentage.
Taylor Fritz (28-1)
Fritz is another player with the game to do something special in London. The American’s best result at the All England Club was a quarter-final finish in 2022, but there’s not much preventing him from winning a quarter and possibly even getting to the finals. Fritz would need a little luck in his draw, but he has a hold percentage of 86.7%, is a better returner than he is given credit for and knows how to win points quickly. All of that should eventually help him find some success in this tournament. Maybe that won’t be in the form of a Grand Slam title, but keep an eye on Fritz’s odds to win his quarter.
Jack Draper (100-1)
I’m not sure Draper has what it takes to actually win this tournament right now, but it’s worth throwing something on him at absurdly long odds. He’s another player that is built to make a deep run at this tournament, and you can set up some great hedging opportunities by pouncing early. I’d actually be very surprised if Draper is still available at 100-1 or better in a couple of weeks. Draper has had some fitness concerns in the past, but he’s a Brit and should be comfortable in these conditions. And Draper’s game is just perfect for the grass. He has a massive serve, big-time power from the baseline and precise grass-court footwork. It would be fitting if his first deep run at a major comes at home.
Wimbledon Odds – Women
(All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
Aryna Sabalenka (+300)
Iga Swiatek (+330)
Elena Rybakina (+450)
Coco Gauff (+750)
Naomi Osaka (11-1)
Ons Jabeur (14-1)
Marketa Vondrousova (14-1)
Jessica Pegula (14-1)
Mirra Andreeva (16-1)
Simona Halep (22-1)
For the rest of the Wimbledon odds, make sure you click here.
Wimbledon Favorites – Women
Aryna Sabalenka (+300)
Iga Swiatek (+330)
Elena Rybakina (+450)
Coco Gauff (+750)
Sabalenka has never won Wimbledon, but she’s a two-time semifinalist and enters this event as the betting favorite. I’m not sure anybody should be favored over Swiatek on any surface, but it’s understandable why Sabalenka sits atop the odds board. Her power makes her an intriguing option in a grass-court event. However, Sabalenka is just 27-16 on grass at the WTA level, which gives her a worse winning percentage on this surface than any other. That means she still has quite a bit to figure out in order to win this event. But if Sabalenka is hot as a server, she’s going to be a very tough out.
Swiatek is just 13-7 on grass in her career, which is crazy considering the success she has had elsewhere. Her best result at Wimbledon was a quarter-final run last year. But I think the Pole is going to win a title here eventually. And I don’t think it’s crazy to expect it this season. Swiatek has undoubtedly made her mark on the French Open already, as she just won her fourth title there. But the 23-year-old has made changes to her game that should help out a lot on these faster courts. Swiatek’s hold percentage is a career-high 83.3% this season, which is up from last year’s 80.3%. She has also improved her forehand quite a bit, making it harder to rush her along the baseline. That said, we might see a whole new Swiatek in London this year. And overall, these odds are enticing for the best player in the world. She’s my pick to win this event.
Rybakina’s only career major title came at Wimbledon in 2022. The Kazakhstani rode her booming first serve and big groundstrokes to a win in a watered down field. Well, this is still Rybakina’s best shot at winning another Grand Slam. Her game translates pretty well to all surfaces, but she’s one of the best servers on the planet and grass courts make that weapon even more dangerous. This is also a surface in which Swiatek and Sabalenka are less proven. That means this event can really go to anyone, which is why we saw Vondrousova sneak in a major last year.
I felt bad leaving Gauff out of the favorites conversation, as I know many people think the women’s game has a Big Four and not a Big Three. But Gauff is way further back on the odds board at Wimbledon, and I tend to think that her +750 odds are a little too short. Gauff’s biggest strength is her all-world defense, as she can track down a lot of balls and eventually outlast opponents. However, that style of play is most effective on hard courts and grass courts. In quicker conditions, Gauff’s up-and-down serve and lack of a forehand will make her a prime upset candidate. The best thing to do with Gauff is hope she loses early, allowing you to potentially get a better price on her to win the US Open.
Wimbledon Players To Watch – Women
Naomi Osaka (11-1)
Osaka nearly eliminated Swiatek from the French Open, as she had a match point in their second-round matchup. Swiatek was ultimately able to storm back and steal that match, but Osaka’s performance was a reminder of what she is capable of on a tennis court. She was swinging big against Swiatek and was finding lines regularly. Osaka is now looking like a player that is ready to do some big things in faster conditions. Well, don’t be surprised if Osaka makes a deep run at Wimbledon. Her movement still needs to improve a little bit, but her ability to crush the ball is going to give her opponents a lot of trouble. So, even though Osaka has never been further than the third round at Wimbledon, she might be worth a play. That Swiatek match did wonders for her confidence.
Qinwen Zheng (25-1)
Zheng’s major breakthrough came in a run to the Australian Open final in January. Well, that was one of the faster hard-court events of the season. With that in mind, Zheng should be able to do some damage on grass. Zheng’s game isn’t as complete as some of the other power players at the top of the women’s game, but she has the ability to hit pretty much anyone else off the court. That should make her a tough matchup for a lot of players at Wimbledon.
