Wimbledon predictions and best bets for Day 10 – July 10th:
The short grass-court season is already nearing its end, as we’re already into the Wimbledon quarterfinals and semifinals. The start of this tournament has been exciting, but we’re soon going to find out who the next Grand Slam champions will be. That said, let’s look at Day 10 of the action at the All England Club, which will take place on Wednesday, July 10th. The day will see stars like Novak Djokovic and Elena Rybakina in action, so this is can’t-miss stuff.
I also post more tennis predictions on the Pro Picks page. I occasionally add some picks throughout the day, as I like to see how odds are moving. So, keep checking that page every couple of hours if you want more of my picks. I’ll also post plays for smaller tournaments on that page.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2024 Record: 499-505 (+30.91 units)
Barbora Krejcikova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
Last year, Krejcikova and Ostapenko met in a grass-court match in Birmingham. Ostapenko ended up winning that match 7-6 (8), 6-4. The only problem is that Krejcikova’s game was all over the place for the better part of the 2022 and 2023 seasons. Sure, she still found ways to churn out winning seasons and win some titles, but she was nowhere near the player she was in 2021. But Krejcikova is looking as sharp as ever in London, where she has already knocked off Veronika Kudermetova, Katie Volynets, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Danielle Collins. So, perhaps we’re starting to see the major-winning level in Krejcikova, making her a tougher opponent for Ostapenko than the odds might suggest.
Krejcikova is a player that can throw opponents off quite a bit, as she has the ability to mix in slice shots as well as anybody. She’s also a good mover, and she knows when to pick her spots when it comes to going big from the baseline or approaching the net. That said, Krejcikova won’t be as predictable as some of Ostapenko’s previous opponents. Krejcikova should also have a good idea of what it takes to beat Ostapenko, as she plays a very similar style to Collins. Both players go for winners on almost every shot, but Krejcikova should be ready for that here.
I’m not sure that this current version of Krejcikova can beat Ostapenko, but I think we’ll see a better effort from her than we did in 2023. That should mean that Krejcikova will get on the board and win a set.
Bet: Krejcikova +1.5 Sets (-154)
Elina Svitolina vs. Elena Rybakina
Svitolina and Rybakina met at the French Open, where the world No. 4 came away with a 6-4, 6-3 victory. The two now clash on the surface in which Rybakina won her only major championship, so things probably seem like they favor her even more here. However, the speed of the courts will make it easier for Svitolina to hold serve. And Rybakina isn’t the greatest returner in the world. So, I’d be pretty surprised if we don’t see two lengthy sets in this match, at the very least. That’s why I’m playing the Over on a game total of 20.5.
Before that lopsided win for Rybakina in Paris, the three previous meetings between these players went Over their totals — with one of them coming in the Olympics, not on the WTA Tour. So, I’m not willing to go away from the Over in this matchup, which has been a very competitive one. Perhaps Rybakina’s grass-court prowess wins out in the end, but that’s fine with me as long as Svitolina shows up.
Bet: Over 20.5 Games (-154)
Alex De Minaur vs. Novak Djokovic
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz
If De Minaur was healthy, I would have been more aggressive in playing him against Djokovic. The 24-time Grand Slam champion played his best match of the tournament against Holger Rune last round, and it might have been his best performance of the year. But I still don’t think that Djokovic is anywhere near the level he was at when he won the French Open in 2023, and he’d need to find something close to that form in order to beat a healthy De Minaur on grass. Fortunately for Djokovic, De Minaur probably won’t be 100% after suffering an injury on the last point of his win over Arthur Fils. But the Australian is excellent on this surface, where his world-class speed allows him to play defense like nobody else. And the speed of the courts also makes him a little more dangerous when it comes to finishing rallies. So, if he’s even 75.0% of his usual self, that should be enough for De Minaur to get on the board with a set. And that would be the first domino in my two-leg parlay for the men’s quarter-final matches.
The second leg will call for Fritz to simply defeat Musetti. Of course, things are never that straightforward with Fritz, who has had issues in big matches in the past. But I’m hoping that his win over Alexander Zverev will be the one that allows him to come out and play freely in majors moving forward. And if Fritz isn’t extremely tight in this match, there’s no reason he should lose. Musetti is obviously a player with a lot of firepower along the baseline, but he’s not nearly as good of a server as Fritz. And the American’s baseline game on grass is quite lethal, as he has power, hits flat shots and uses his length to defend at a much higher level than somebody his size has any business doing. All of that should be enough for him to win as a big favorite.
PARLAY: De Minaur +2.5 Sets + Fritz ML (-145 – 1.5 units)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
